Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#25
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#38
Pace67.1#180
Improvement-1.4#230

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#26
Improvement-1.5#249

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#59
Improvement+0.1#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 81.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 81.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.5% n/a n/a
First Round77.3% n/a n/a
Second Round38.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 191   Boston University W 82-46 93%     1 - 0 +31.0 +5.4 +24.3
  Nov 15, 2011 215   Rhode Island W 100-90 94%     2 - 0 +3.8 +7.1 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2011 92   Oregon St. L 95-100 OT 72%     2 - 1 +0.4 +5.9 -4.6
  Nov 21, 2011 43   North Carolina St. L 74-77 60%     2 - 2 +6.0 +6.4 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 56-40 96%     3 - 2 +6.4 -9.2 +17.7
  Nov 29, 2011 159   North Texas W 73-57 90%     4 - 2 +13.3 +4.3 +9.8
  Dec 03, 2011 59   @ UCLA W 69-59 51%     5 - 2 +21.3 +17.9 +5.7
  Dec 06, 2011 108   Texas Arlington W 80-62 84%     6 - 2 +18.7 +6.4 +12.0
  Dec 10, 2011 259   Texas St. W 86-52 96%     7 - 2 +24.8 +5.3 +18.7
  Dec 13, 2011 326   Nicholls St. W 93-40 99%     8 - 2 +37.0 +6.0 +30.0
  Dec 17, 2011 35   Temple W 77-65 66%     9 - 2 +19.2 +5.5 +13.8
  Dec 21, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 63-82 17%     9 - 3 +3.0 -0.6 +4.0
  Dec 31, 2011 145   Rice W 73-59 89%     10 - 3 +12.2 +1.9 +10.5
  Jan 04, 2012 27   @ Iowa St. L 71-77 37%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +8.9 +2.0 +7.1
  Jan 07, 2012 90   Oklahoma St. W 58-49 82%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +11.0 -13.0 +24.2
  Jan 11, 2012 104   Texas A&M W 61-51 84%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +11.1 -0.9 +13.2
  Jan 14, 2012 6   @ Missouri L 73-84 17%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +10.7 +8.2 +2.0
  Jan 18, 2012 21   @ Kansas St. L 80-84 32%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +12.3 +12.9 -0.4
  Jan 21, 2012 5   Kansas L 66-69 37%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +12.0 +6.8 +4.9
  Jan 24, 2012 27   Iowa St. W 62-55 63%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +15.1 -5.8 +21.2
  Jan 28, 2012 11   @ Baylor L 71-76 26%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +13.2 +5.2 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2012 6   Missouri L 66-67 37%     13 - 9 3 - 6 +13.9 -2.0 +15.8
  Feb 04, 2012 220   Texas Tech W 74-57 94%     14 - 9 4 - 6 +10.4 +4.4 +6.7
  Feb 06, 2012 104   @ Texas A&M W 70-68 64%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +9.9 +15.6 -5.4
  Feb 11, 2012 21   Kansas St. W 75-64 58%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +20.5 +9.9 +10.9
  Feb 14, 2012 96   @ Oklahoma W 69-58 62%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +19.5 +5.9 +14.4
  Feb 18, 2012 90   @ Oklahoma St. L 78-90 61%     17 - 10 7 - 7 -3.2 +6.9 -9.7
  Feb 20, 2012 11   Baylor L 72-77 51%     17 - 11 7 - 8 +6.4 +9.1 -3.1
  Feb 25, 2012 220   @ Texas Tech W 71-67 OT 85%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +4.2 -3.9 +7.8
  Feb 29, 2012 96   Oklahoma W 72-64 82%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +9.7 +0.6 +9.1
  Mar 03, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 63-73 17%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +11.8 +3.2 +8.2
  Mar 08, 2012 27   Iowa St. W 71-65 50%     20 - 12 +17.5 +3.4 +14.2
  Mar 09, 2012 6   Missouri L 67-81 26%     20 - 13 +4.3 +3.5 -0.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 81.2% 81.2% 10.5 0.0 0.2 2.4 9.6 25.1 32.6 10.9 0.4 18.8 81.2%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 81.2% 0.0% 81.2% 10.5 0.0 0.2 2.4 9.6 25.1 32.6 10.9 0.4 18.8 81.2%