Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
66 Valparaiso 100.0%   13   25 - 7 13 - 3 25 - 7 13 - 3 +7.5      +6.1 39 +1.4 130 66.7 187 +8.2 60 +8.6 1
69 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 4 18 - 12 12 - 4 +7.3      +8.2 19 -0.9 191 77.2 21 +4.7 99 +6.4 2
126 Green Bay 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 6 17 - 15 10 - 6 +2.7      +1.0 150 +1.7 121 63.5 260 +1.2 155 +3.3 4
129 Wright St. 0.0%   20 - 12 10 - 6 20 - 12 10 - 6 +2.5      -3.4 263 +5.9 36 61.2 291 +2.9 124 +3.4 3
171 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   14 - 16 5 - 11 14 - 16 5 - 11 -0.3      0.0 175 -0.2 178 62.1 281 -2.2 201 -4.9 8
193 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   16 - 15 7 - 9 16 - 15 7 - 9 -1.3      -3.2 257 +1.9 118 64.7 235 +0.6 162 -1.2 6
203 Youngstown St. 0.0%   14 - 15 7 - 9 14 - 15 7 - 9 -2.0      -0.5 185 -1.4 213 72.2 73 -0.1 173 -1.1 5
260 Cleveland St. 0.0%   11 - 18 5 - 11 11 - 18 5 - 11 -5.8      -2.0 223 -3.8 279 66.4 197 -2.1 197 -4.0 7
292 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 13 6 - 24 3 - 13 -8.4      -4.9 294 -3.5 269 67.4 176 -8.7 299 -7.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Valparaiso 1.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 2.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Wright St. 3.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 7.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 5.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 5.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 7.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Valparaiso 13 - 3 100.0
Detroit Mercy 12 - 4 100.0
Green Bay 10 - 6 100.0
Wright St. 10 - 6 100.0
Loyola Chicago 5 - 11 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 7 - 9 100.0
Youngstown St. 7 - 9 100.0
Cleveland St. 5 - 11 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Valparaiso 100.0% 100.0
Detroit Mercy
Green Bay
Wright St.
Loyola Chicago
Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown St.
Cleveland St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Valparaiso 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 5.9 84.1 10.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Valparaiso 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 23.8% 8.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 23.8% 0.2 76.2 23.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 8.0% 0.1 92.1 8.0
Elite Eight 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0