Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#66
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#60
Pace66.7#187
Improvement+2.5#70

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#39
Improvement+4.9#22

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
Improvement-2.4#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 282   Georgia Southern W 85-54 94%     1 - 0 +20.4 +18.5 +5.9
  Nov 13, 2012 315   Northern Illinois W 69-46 96%     2 - 0 +9.7 -1.5 +12.2
  Nov 15, 2012 123   @ Nebraska L 48-50 55%     2 - 1 +4.1 -15.6 +19.5
  Nov 18, 2012 117   @ Kent St. W 88-83 OT 53%     3 - 1 +11.6 +8.4 +2.8
  Nov 23, 2012 290   Chicago St. W 67-46 95%     4 - 1 +9.5 -1.6 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2012 273   Bethune-Cookman W 77-64 90%     5 - 1 +6.2 +5.4 +1.7
  Dec 02, 2012 17   @ Saint Louis L 49-62 19%     5 - 2 +4.0 -7.5 +10.3
  Dec 05, 2012 242   Purdue Fort Wayne W 63-52 92%     6 - 2 +3.1 -8.8 +12.7
  Dec 08, 2012 16   @ New Mexico L 52-65 18%     6 - 3 +4.0 -7.0 +10.0
  Dec 15, 2012 197   @ Missouri St. W 62-54 71%     7 - 3 +9.6 -3.1 +13.8
  Dec 17, 2012 206   @ Oakland L 68-70 73%     7 - 4 -1.0 -10.8 +9.9
  Dec 20, 2012 332   IUPUI W 89-69 98%     8 - 4 +3.1 +6.1 -2.6
  Dec 29, 2012 139   @ Murray St. W 66-64 60%     9 - 4 +6.9 -2.8 +9.7
  Jan 02, 2013 171   Loyola Chicago L 54-63 85%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -12.5 -15.2 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2013 260   Cleveland St. W 74-50 93%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +15.0 -6.3 +20.6
  Jan 09, 2013 193   @ Illinois-Chicago W 75-70 71%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +6.9 +9.2 -2.0
  Jan 12, 2013 292   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-52 88%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +18.8 +5.8 +14.4
  Jan 17, 2013 69   @ Detroit Mercy W 89-88 38%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +11.5 +11.1 +0.4
  Jan 19, 2013 129   Wright St. W 69-63 78%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +5.2 +7.1 -1.3
  Jan 23, 2013 126   Green Bay W 73-61 78%     15 - 5 6 - 1 +11.4 +3.7 +8.3
  Jan 30, 2013 203   @ Youngstown St. L 68-80 73%     15 - 6 6 - 2 -10.7 -3.4 -7.6
  Feb 01, 2013 292   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-40 95%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +19.4 +3.8 +20.3
  Feb 05, 2013 193   Illinois-Chicago W 86-61 87%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +20.4 +19.3 +2.8
  Feb 09, 2013 260   @ Cleveland St. W 80-72 83%     18 - 6 9 - 2 +5.5 +11.0 -4.9
  Feb 12, 2013 129   @ Wright St. W 68-61 57%     19 - 6 10 - 2 +12.7 +8.4 +4.9
  Feb 16, 2013 69   Detroit Mercy L 74-84 63%     19 - 7 10 - 3 -5.9 -2.2 -3.7
  Feb 19, 2013 171   @ Loyola Chicago W 85-76 67%     20 - 7 11 - 3 +12.0 +13.5 -1.5
  Feb 23, 2013 122   Eastern Kentucky W 82-60 77%     21 - 7 +21.7 +4.8 +17.0
  Feb 26, 2013 203   Youngstown St. W 73-64 88%     22 - 7 12 - 3 +3.8 +1.3 +3.0
  Mar 02, 2013 126   @ Green Bay W 75-56 56%     23 - 7 13 - 3 +24.9 +19.1 +9.2
  Mar 09, 2013 126   Green Bay W 70-69 78%     24 - 7 +0.4 +7.5 -6.9
  Mar 12, 2013 129   Wright St. W 62-54 78%     25 - 7 +7.2 -4.8 +12.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.0 0.0 5.9 84.1 10.0 0.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 5.9 84.1 10.0 0.0