Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#207
Pace66.0#206
Improvement+3.2#53

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#142
Improvement+5.4#13

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#230
Improvement-2.2#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 104   Princeton L 53-57 43%     0 - 1 -2.8 -15.9 +12.6
  Nov 12, 2012 109   @ Florida St. L 68-95 22%     0 - 2 -19.7 -6.7 -11.3
  Nov 15, 2012 79   @ Evansville W 56-50 18%     1 - 2 +15.3 -8.1 +23.7
  Nov 16, 2012 176   Western Illinois L 58-67 50%     1 - 3 -9.6 -2.5 -8.3
  Nov 17, 2012 188   Yale L 59-63 52%     1 - 4 -5.2 -10.4 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2012 120   @ Canisius L 64-71 25%     1 - 5 -0.6 -11.3 +10.9
  Nov 28, 2012 58   Temple L 39-54 29%     1 - 6 -9.9 -31.1 +20.1
  Dec 01, 2012 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 79-82 25%     1 - 7 +3.4 +4.2 -0.6
  Dec 05, 2012 292   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-52 67%     2 - 7 +14.8 +5.6 +11.5
  Dec 08, 2012 133   Niagara W 77-67 51%     3 - 7 +9.0 +3.0 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2012 91   Washington St. L 54-65 28%     3 - 8 -5.7 -6.5 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2013 175   @ Tulsa L 57-63 37%     3 - 9 -3.3 -6.3 +2.4
  Jan 09, 2013 80   @ Ohio L 68-86 18%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -8.8 -2.1 -6.2
  Jan 12, 2013 239   Miami (OH) L 57-58 75%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -8.7 -16.0 +7.3
  Jan 16, 2013 117   Kent St. L 68-80 47%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -11.8 -8.5 -2.9
  Jan 19, 2013 210   Bowling Green W 68-65 69%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -2.7 +2.2 -4.5
  Jan 23, 2013 245   @ Ball St. W 66-63 53%     5 - 12 2 - 3 +1.5 -4.1 +5.8
  Jan 26, 2013 56   @ Akron L 64-68 12%     5 - 13 2 - 4 +8.0 +2.1 +5.7
  Jan 30, 2013 250   Central Michigan W 91-73 77%     6 - 13 3 - 4 +9.5 +9.8 -0.2
  Feb 02, 2013 147   @ Western Michigan L 60-71 31%     6 - 14 3 - 5 -6.6 -11.3 +4.9
  Feb 06, 2013 236   @ Eastern Michigan L 46-65 52%     6 - 15 3 - 6 -20.1 -8.0 -18.2
  Feb 09, 2013 315   Northern Illinois W 59-54 88%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -8.3 -6.9 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2013 186   Toledo W 75-60 64%     8 - 15 5 - 6 +10.8 +1.0 +10.2
  Feb 16, 2013 239   @ Miami (OH) W 79-71 52%     9 - 15 6 - 6 +6.8 +7.7 -0.7
  Feb 23, 2013 154   Manhattan L 64-65 57%     9 - 16 -3.5 +1.3 -5.0
  Feb 27, 2013 117   @ Kent St. L 81-83 OT 24%     9 - 17 6 - 7 +4.6 +7.1 -2.4
  Mar 02, 2013 56   Akron W 81-67 28%     10 - 17 7 - 7 +19.5 +13.7 +6.0
  Mar 05, 2013 80   Ohio L 69-72 37%     10 - 18 7 - 8 -0.3 +0.1 -0.5
  Mar 08, 2013 210   @ Bowling Green L 65-76 44%     10 - 19 7 - 9 -10.2 +1.8 -13.1
  Mar 11, 2013 250   Central Michigan W 74-72 OT 77%     11 - 19 -6.5 -8.1 +1.6
  Mar 13, 2013 245   Ball St. W 76-61 65%     12 - 19 +10.3 +6.3 +5.4
  Mar 14, 2013 117   Kent St. L 68-70 35%     12 - 20 +1.4 -3.3 +4.6
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%