Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#133
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#132
Pace74.6#43
Improvement+2.8#64

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#114
Improvement-1.6#239

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#177
Improvement+4.4#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 103   @ Oregon St. L 83-102 30%     0 - 1 -11.2 -1.9 -6.2
  Nov 13, 2012 329   St. Francis (PA) W 86-69 94%     1 - 1 +1.3 +3.6 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2012 61   Bucknell L 71-88 40%     1 - 2 -12.2 +4.9 -17.9
  Nov 18, 2012 87   New Mexico St. W 86-83 49%     2 - 2 +5.4 +6.9 -1.8
  Nov 24, 2012 119   St. Bonaventure L 75-80 46%     2 - 3 -1.8 -6.3 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2012 90   @ Iona L 72-83 27%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -2.5 -5.5 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2012 250   @ Central Michigan L 64-66 66%     2 - 5 -4.1 -12.0 +7.9
  Dec 05, 2012 128   @ Loyola Maryland W 62-61 37%     3 - 5 1 - 1 +6.7 -3.3 +10.1
  Dec 08, 2012 179   @ Buffalo L 67-77 49%     3 - 6 -7.4 -5.6 -1.9
  Dec 12, 2012 219   Hartford W 75-59 80%     4 - 6 +9.5 -2.9 +11.1
  Dec 16, 2012 137   Vermont W 68-58 64%     5 - 6 +8.6 -4.2 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2012 30   @ Notre Dame L 67-89 11%     5 - 7 -6.6 +0.6 -7.6
  Jan 03, 2013 228   Marist W 94-72 81%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +14.9 +7.6 +4.9
  Jan 05, 2013 155   Fairfield W 71-67 68%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +1.4 -2.5 +3.7
  Jan 08, 2013 222   @ Brown L 74-75 OT 59%     7 - 8 -1.2 -7.3 +6.2
  Jan 11, 2013 279   @ St. Peter's W 77-58 72%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +15.3 +14.1 +3.4
  Jan 13, 2013 155   @ Fairfield W 67-64 44%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +6.8 +6.1 +1.0
  Jan 17, 2013 284   Siena W 87-64 89%     10 - 8 6 - 1 +11.9 +12.6 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2013 154   Manhattan W 64-60 68%     11 - 8 7 - 1 +1.5 -2.7 +4.3
  Jan 25, 2013 284   @ Siena W 78-69 75%     12 - 8 8 - 1 +4.3 +8.3 -3.4
  Jan 27, 2013 120   @ Canisius W 66-65 34%     13 - 8 9 - 1 +7.4 -3.0 +10.5
  Jan 31, 2013 90   Iona W 93-90 OT 51%     14 - 8 10 - 1 +5.0 +2.7 +1.9
  Feb 02, 2013 128   Loyola Maryland L 87-89 2OT 61%     14 - 9 10 - 2 -2.7 -2.1 -0.3
  Feb 07, 2013 151   @ Rider L 69-72 43%     14 - 10 10 - 3 +1.0 +1.6 -0.6
  Feb 10, 2013 120   Canisius L 70-77 59%     14 - 11 10 - 4 -7.1 -10.2 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2013 228   @ Marist W 57-54 61%     15 - 11 11 - 4 +2.4 -14.9 +17.4
  Feb 17, 2013 154   @ Manhattan W 60-56 43%     16 - 11 12 - 4 +7.9 -1.0 +9.2
  Feb 23, 2013 131   Northwestern St. W 92-76 62%     17 - 11 +15.2 +10.3 +3.8
  Feb 28, 2013 151   Rider L 59-68 68%     17 - 12 12 - 5 -11.5 -13.6 +2.3
  Mar 02, 2013 279   St. Peter's W 78-61 87%     18 - 12 13 - 5 +6.8 +11.4 -2.7
  Mar 09, 2013 284   Siena W 74-62 83%     19 - 12 +4.1 +2.1 +2.7
  Mar 10, 2013 90   Iona L 73-79 38%     19 - 13 -0.7 -7.6 +7.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%