Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Atlantic 10
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.2#44
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#18
Pace63.6#257
Improvement-1.1#218

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#49
Improvement-3.2#299

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#59
Improvement+2.1#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 80.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round49.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 208   Elon W 74-59 92%     1 - 0 +9.4 +3.6 +6.8
  Nov 13, 2012 76   @ Xavier L 47-62 51%     1 - 1 -5.2 -9.8 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2012 22   Marquette W 72-71 40%     2 - 1 +13.9 +7.5 +6.4
  Nov 20, 2012 26   North Carolina W 82-71 41%     3 - 1 +23.6 +9.4 +13.6
  Nov 21, 2012 48   Illinois L 61-78 51%     3 - 2 -7.0 -1.0 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2012 245   Ball St. W 67-53 94%     4 - 2 +6.0 -5.0 +12.4
  Dec 05, 2012 332   IUPUI W 87-55 99%     5 - 2 +15.1 +5.3 +10.9
  Dec 08, 2012 125   @ Northwestern W 74-65 66%     6 - 2 +15.0 +8.2 +7.3
  Dec 15, 2012 3   Indiana W 88-86 OT 18%     7 - 2 +22.0 +11.2 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2012 79   Evansville W 75-67 76%     8 - 2 +10.8 +2.2 +8.4
  Dec 29, 2012 84   @ Vanderbilt W 68-49 55%     9 - 2 +27.9 +10.0 +20.4
  Jan 02, 2013 244   Penn W 70-57 94%     10 - 2 +5.1 -3.6 +8.8
  Jan 05, 2013 345   New Orleans W 57-44 99%     11 - 2 -9.1 -14.4 +7.9
  Jan 09, 2013 75   @ Saint Joseph's W 72-66 51%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +15.9 +10.2 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2013 67   @ Dayton W 79-73 48%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +16.7 +10.9 +6.0
  Jan 16, 2013 82   Richmond W 62-47 77%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +17.5 -1.6 +21.7
  Jan 19, 2013 4   Gonzaga W 64-63 29%     15 - 2 +17.0 +8.9 +8.4
  Jan 23, 2013 55   @ La Salle L 53-54 42%     15 - 3 3 - 1 +11.1 -4.5 +15.5
  Jan 26, 2013 58   Temple W 83-71 69%     16 - 3 4 - 1 +17.1 +12.5 +5.0
  Jan 31, 2013 17   @ Saint Louis L 58-75 26%     16 - 4 4 - 2 +0.0 -6.1 +6.9
  Feb 02, 2013 185   Rhode Island W 75-68 90%     17 - 4 5 - 2 +2.8 +4.8 -1.7
  Feb 06, 2013 119   St. Bonaventure W 77-58 83%     18 - 4 6 - 2 +18.9 +6.1 +14.0
  Feb 09, 2013 112   @ George Washington W 59-56 62%     19 - 4 7 - 2 +10.0 -8.1 +18.0
  Feb 13, 2013 130   Charlotte L 67-71 85%     19 - 5 7 - 3 -4.8 -3.1 -1.8
  Feb 16, 2013 248   @ Fordham W 68-63 87%     20 - 5 8 - 3 +3.1 -4.8 +8.0
  Feb 19, 2013 240   Duquesne W 68-49 94%     21 - 5 9 - 3 +11.2 +2.2 +12.3
  Feb 22, 2013 17   Saint Louis L 61-65 49%     21 - 6 9 - 4 +6.5 +1.7 +4.5
  Mar 02, 2013 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 52-84 27%     21 - 7 9 - 5 -15.3 -10.3 -7.1
  Mar 07, 2013 78   @ Massachusetts W 73-62 53%     22 - 7 10 - 5 +20.3 +11.4 +10.1
  Mar 09, 2013 76   Xavier W 67-62 74%     23 - 7 11 - 5 +8.4 -0.4 +8.9
  Mar 14, 2013 67   Dayton W 73-67 60%     24 - 7 +13.5 +6.9 +7.0
  Mar 15, 2013 55   La Salle W 69-58 55%     25 - 7 +19.9 +5.5 +15.3
  Mar 16, 2013 17   Saint Louis L 56-67 36%     25 - 8 +2.8 -5.8 +8.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.9 0.1 1.8 23.8 54.9 17.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.9 0.1 1.8 23.8 54.9 17.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%