Pre-tourney Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#58
Pace78.5#15
Improvement+4.7#23

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#68
Improvement+4.1#35

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#115
Improvement+0.6#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four27.0% n/a n/a
First Round12.3% n/a n/a
Second Round3.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2012 108   Harvard W 67-64 69%     1 - 0 +3.9 -14.0 +17.6
  Nov 15, 2012 63   Providence W 77-75 43%     2 - 0 +9.8 +10.4 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2012 29   North Carolina St. L 76-94 28%     2 - 1 -5.8 -3.1 -0.6
  Nov 18, 2012 60   Tennessee L 69-83 42%     2 - 2 -5.9 -9.1 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2012 284   @ Siena W 64-63 84%     3 - 2 -3.7 -10.5 +6.8
  Dec 01, 2012 12   Miami (FL) L 62-75 28%     3 - 3 -1.0 -2.8 +1.3
  Dec 04, 2012 178   @ Northeastern W 72-66 63%     4 - 3 +8.6 -1.3 +10.0
  Dec 15, 2012 208   Elon W 78-73 OT 86%     5 - 3 -0.6 -12.9 +11.3
  Dec 19, 2012 80   Ohio W 85-76 63%     6 - 3 +11.7 +2.0 +8.5
  Dec 22, 2012 158   East Carolina W 88-81 80%     7 - 3 +4.3 -0.7 +4.2
  Dec 29, 2012 315   @ Northern Illinois W 64-59 88%     8 - 3 -1.8 -8.7 +6.7
  Jan 02, 2013 239   @ Miami (OH) W 70-69 76%     9 - 3 -0.2 -3.6 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2013 236   Eastern Michigan W 75-61 89%     10 - 3 +6.4 +3.2 +3.3
  Jan 10, 2013 17   @ Saint Louis L 62-70 15%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +9.0 +3.9 +4.6
  Jan 13, 2013 248   @ Fordham W 77-73 78%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +2.1 -2.6 +4.4
  Jan 17, 2013 240   Duquesne W 79-66 90%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +5.2 -3.6 +8.0
  Jan 19, 2013 112   George Washington L 76-79 70%     12 - 5 2 - 2 -2.5 -0.2 -2.0
  Jan 27, 2013 82   Richmond W 70-65 64%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +7.5 +0.8 +7.1
  Jan 30, 2013 55   @ La Salle W 61-60 28%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +13.1 -3.5 +16.7
  Feb 02, 2013 130   @ Charlotte L 65-66 52%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +4.6 +0.0 +4.6
  Feb 06, 2013 185   Rhode Island W 81-53 83%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +23.8 +10.2 +14.7
  Feb 09, 2013 75   Saint Joseph's W 80-62 60%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +21.5 +9.0 +12.8
  Feb 14, 2013 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 16%     16 - 7 6 - 4 -1.3 -5.4 +6.1
  Feb 16, 2013 58   Temple L 82-83 54%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +4.1 +7.4 -3.3
  Feb 20, 2013 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 94-99 49%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +1.4 +5.1 -2.8
  Feb 23, 2013 67   Dayton W 76-66 57%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +14.2 +6.4 +8.4
  Mar 02, 2013 76   @ Xavier W 77-72 36%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +14.8 +9.1 +5.7
  Mar 07, 2013 44   Butler L 62-73 47%     18 - 10 8 - 7 -4.0 -1.5 -3.7
  Mar 09, 2013 185   @ Rhode Island W 75-66 64%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +11.3 +11.6 +0.5
  Mar 14, 2013 112   George Washington W 77-72 59%     20 - 10 +8.8 +6.0 +2.5
  Mar 15, 2013 58   Temple W 79-74 41%     21 - 10 +13.3 +6.2 +7.0
  Mar 16, 2013 20   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-71 24%     21 - 11 +4.5 -9.8 +14.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 29.5% 29.5% 11.9 0.1 2.4 25.8 1.1 70.5 29.5%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 29.5% 0.0% 29.5% 11.9 0.1 2.4 25.8 1.1 70.5 29.5%