Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#118
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#121
Pace73.3#55
Improvement+2.4#76

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#76
Improvement+1.1#109

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
Improvement+1.2#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2012 69   @ Detroit Mercy L 79-85 24%     0 - 1 +4.5 -5.4 +10.9
  Nov 22, 2012 57   California L 70-73 30%     0 - 2 +5.5 +3.0 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2012 321   Rice W 77-66 90%     1 - 2 +0.1 +5.5 -4.2
  Nov 25, 2012 76   Xavier L 70-74 37%     1 - 3 +2.6 +1.2 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2012 149   @ Nevada W 76-66 47%     2 - 3 +14.1 +1.9 +12.0
  Dec 05, 2012 23   St. Mary's L 73-88 27%     2 - 4 -5.4 -2.4 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2012 242   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-64 85%     3 - 4 +2.1 -11.7 +12.6
  Dec 15, 2012 35   Iowa St. L 77-86 22%     3 - 5 +2.5 -4.9 +8.6
  Dec 19, 2012 177   NC Central W 72-69 75%     4 - 5 -0.8 +5.9 -6.4
  Dec 22, 2012 271   Eastern Illinois W 74-56 88%     5 - 5 +8.2 +5.9 +5.2
  Dec 29, 2012 159   @ Bradley L 57-67 48%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -6.2 -15.3 +9.3
  Jan 02, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 63-75 31%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -3.6 -3.6 -0.2
  Jan 05, 2013 197   Missouri St. L 65-77 78%     5 - 8 0 - 3 -16.8 -2.4 -16.1
  Jan 08, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 61-91 9%     5 - 9 0 - 4 -12.2 -4.5 -9.0
  Jan 12, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. W 82-77 23%     6 - 9 1 - 4 +15.9 +7.1 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2013 79   Evansville W 83-69 52%     7 - 9 2 - 4 +16.8 +3.5 +11.7
  Jan 20, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 55-85 23%     7 - 10 2 - 5 -19.0 -12.2 -6.5
  Jan 23, 2013 15   Creighton W 74-69 22%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +16.3 +1.9 +14.3
  Jan 27, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. L 72-78 56%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -4.4 +4.6 -9.5
  Jan 30, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois W 61-56 49%     9 - 11 4 - 6 +8.5 -4.4 +13.4
  Feb 02, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 74-71 OT 56%     10 - 11 5 - 6 +4.7 +1.1 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2013 65   Illinois St. L 86-94 45%     10 - 12 5 - 7 -3.6 +5.5 -8.2
  Feb 10, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 78-84 OT 28%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +3.3 +3.4 +0.4
  Feb 13, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 56-71 14%     10 - 14 5 - 9 -0.1 -5.8 +5.0
  Feb 16, 2013 64   Northern Iowa L 64-71 45%     10 - 15 5 - 10 -2.5 +0.8 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2013 159   Bradley W 92-84 OT 72%     11 - 15 6 - 10 +5.3 +4.7 -0.5
  Feb 23, 2013 126   Green Bay W 71-54 64%     12 - 15 +16.4 +2.1 +15.3
  Feb 27, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. W 67-56 32%     13 - 15 7 - 10 +19.2 +8.7 +11.9
  Mar 02, 2013 161   Southern Illinois L 63-66 73%     13 - 16 7 - 11 -6.0 -3.6 -2.9
  Mar 07, 2013 159   Bradley W 81-66 60%     14 - 16 +15.5 +15.5 +1.3
  Mar 08, 2013 15   Creighton L 53-65 15%     14 - 17 +2.5 -12.3 +13.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%