Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#57
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#48
Pace67.4#177
Improvement+0.0#166

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#89
Improvement-1.6#240

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#44
Improvement+1.7#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.5% n/a n/a
First Round52.7% n/a n/a
Second Round18.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-65 93%     1 - 0 +5.4 -3.4 +7.8
  Nov 13, 2012 218   Pepperdine W 79-62 91%     2 - 0 +10.6 +3.3 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2012 54   @ Denver W 72-61 35%     3 - 0 +23.5 +5.3 +18.4
  Nov 22, 2012 118   Drake W 73-70 70%     4 - 0 +6.2 +0.4 +5.9
  Nov 23, 2012 102   Georgia Tech W 68-57 65%     5 - 0 +15.6 +5.2 +11.1
  Nov 25, 2012 115   Pacific W 78-58 69%     6 - 0 +23.5 +4.1 +19.1
  Dec 02, 2012 14   @ Wisconsin L 56-81 18%     6 - 1 -6.6 -5.0 -1.1
  Dec 09, 2012 31   UNLV L 75-76 49%     6 - 2 +7.7 +5.2 +2.6
  Dec 15, 2012 15   Creighton L 64-74 39%     6 - 3 +1.3 -10.8 +12.7
  Dec 18, 2012 205   UC Santa Barbara W 68-59 90%     7 - 3 +3.7 -0.6 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2012 325   Prairie View W 85-53 98%     8 - 3 +16.8 +6.7 +9.2
  Dec 29, 2012 108   Harvard L 62-67 77%     8 - 4 -4.1 -9.0 +4.7
  Jan 03, 2013 40   @ UCLA L 65-79 30%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -0.2 -2.3 +2.2
  Jan 05, 2013 100   @ USC W 72-64 52%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +15.9 +8.6 +7.7
  Jan 09, 2013 77   Washington L 47-62 70%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -11.8 -17.5 +3.7
  Jan 12, 2013 91   Washington St. W 67-54 73%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +15.0 -0.6 +16.6
  Jan 19, 2013 46   @ Stanford L 59-69 32%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +3.3 -1.9 +4.2
  Jan 24, 2013 114   @ Utah W 62-57 56%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +11.8 +0.7 +11.8
  Jan 27, 2013 45   @ Colorado L 71-81 32%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +3.4 +1.9 +2.2
  Jan 31, 2013 103   Oregon St. W 71-68 75%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +4.3 +6.4 -1.7
  Feb 02, 2013 41   Oregon W 58-54 56%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +11.0 -7.4 +18.5
  Feb 07, 2013 71   @ Arizona St. L 62-66 43%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +6.4 -5.6 +12.0
  Feb 10, 2013 18   @ Arizona W 77-69 21%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +24.8 +16.1 +9.2
  Feb 14, 2013 40   UCLA W 76-63 54%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +20.3 +7.4 +13.1
  Feb 17, 2013 100   USC W 76-68 75%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +9.4 +8.5 +1.2
  Feb 21, 2013 41   @ Oregon W 48-46 31%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +15.5 -11.8 +27.4
  Feb 23, 2013 103   @ Oregon St. W 60-59 53%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +8.8 -7.8 +16.6
  Feb 28, 2013 114   Utah W 64-46 78%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +18.4 -3.8 +23.4
  Mar 02, 2013 45   Colorado W 62-46 56%     20 - 9 12 - 5 +22.9 +6.7 +19.3
  Mar 06, 2013 46   Stanford L 70-83 56%     20 - 10 12 - 6 -6.1 +1.9 -8.4
  Mar 14, 2013 114   Utah L 69-79 OT 68%     20 - 11 -6.4 -1.3 -5.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 62.0% 62.0% 10.8 0.1 1.6 6.2 12.8 24.6 16.8 0.0 38.0 62.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 62.0% 0.0% 62.0% 10.8 0.1 1.6 6.2 12.8 24.6 16.8 0.0 38.0 62.0%