Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Atlantic Sun
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#138
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#158
Pace60.4#305
Improvement+4.2#32

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#169
Improvement+5.7#9

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#129
Improvement-1.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2012 145   George Mason L 49-52 51%     0 - 1 -1.7 -15.5 +13.4
  Nov 17, 2012 193   Illinois-Chicago L 36-62 62%     0 - 2 -27.3 -28.7 -3.1
  Nov 19, 2012 127   Wake Forest L 71-74 47%     0 - 3 -0.5 +1.5 -2.0
  Nov 25, 2012 340   Furman W 73-46 96%     1 - 3 +8.9 -3.9 +14.9
  Nov 28, 2012 16   @ New Mexico L 58-76 8%     1 - 4 -1.0 -9.4 +9.8
  Dec 02, 2012 109   @ Florida St. W 61-56 29%     2 - 4 +12.3 -7.0 +19.5
  Dec 05, 2012 54   @ Denver L 40-69 16%     2 - 5 -16.5 -22.9 +2.9
  Dec 08, 2012 339   Alabama A&M W 65-46 96%     3 - 5 +1.0 -6.7 +10.3
  Dec 16, 2012 309   @ Chattanooga W 63-53 78%     4 - 5 +3.6 -10.6 +14.9
  Dec 18, 2012 101   @ Georgia L 49-58 28%     4 - 6 -1.2 -10.9 +8.5
  Dec 22, 2012 68   @ Alabama W 66-59 20%     5 - 6 +17.7 +9.0 +9.6
  Dec 31, 2012 243   Stetson W 70-64 82%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -1.9 -6.1 +4.3
  Jan 02, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-70 OT 63%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +5.4 +2.8 +2.5
  Jan 05, 2013 336   @ Kennesaw St. L 75-83 88%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -19.2 -2.1 -17.2
  Jan 10, 2013 257   @ North Florida W 66-47 65%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +16.7 +1.6 +18.2
  Jan 12, 2013 296   @ Jacksonville L 47-49 75%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -7.5 -22.5 +14.9
  Jan 17, 2013 324   East Tennessee St. W 78-59 93%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +4.3 -2.2 +6.7
  Jan 19, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate W 82-74 77%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +2.1 +11.4 -8.7
  Jan 24, 2013 258   @ Northern Kentucky L 46-63 66%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -19.5 -13.9 -10.6
  Jan 26, 2013 304   @ Lipscomb W 71-65 77%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -0.1 +1.0 -0.5
  Feb 01, 2013 336   Kennesaw St. W 66-42 95%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +6.3 -7.0 +16.3
  Feb 07, 2013 296   Jacksonville W 67-64 OT 89%     13 - 9 8 - 3 -8.9 -9.7 +0.8
  Feb 09, 2013 257   North Florida W 64-44 84%     14 - 9 9 - 3 +11.2 -7.3 +20.8
  Feb 14, 2013 214   @ South Carolina Upstate W 70-59 54%     15 - 9 10 - 3 +11.6 +5.8 +7.3
  Feb 16, 2013 324   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-54 82%     16 - 9 11 - 3 +8.8 +4.8 +6.8
  Feb 21, 2013 304   Lipscomb W 83-58 90%     17 - 9 12 - 3 +12.5 +4.7 +8.3
  Feb 23, 2013 258   Northern Kentucky W 63-46 84%     18 - 9 13 - 3 +8.1 +1.9 +10.3
  Feb 28, 2013 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 57-60 38%     18 - 10 13 - 4 +1.9 -6.0 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2013 243   @ Stetson W 77-65 62%     19 - 10 14 - 4 +10.6 +4.1 +6.7
  Mar 06, 2013 304   Lipscomb W 82-48 85%     20 - 10 +24.7 +12.3 +16.1
  Mar 08, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 66%     21 - 10 +5.4 +5.7 +0.6
  Mar 09, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast L 75-88 50%     21 - 11 -11.4 +2.0 -13.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%