Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#309
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#292
Pace71.1#93
Improvement-1.5#238

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#253
Improvement+3.7#43

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#324
Improvement-5.2#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 55-69 1%     0 - 1 +7.5 -3.8 +10.7
  Nov 18, 2012 225   Southeast Missouri St. L 65-77 39%     0 - 2 -18.9 -15.2 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2012 272   Troy L 61-68 51%     0 - 3 -16.9 -17.2 +0.2
  Nov 20, 2012 86   Louisiana Tech L 63-71 13%     0 - 4 -5.6 -4.9 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2012 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 65-51 56%     1 - 4 +2.8 -8.6 +12.3
  Dec 01, 2012 70   Davidson L 55-81 11%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -22.0 -18.6 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2012 122   Eastern Kentucky L 52-63 19%     1 - 6 -11.3 -18.5 +5.8
  Dec 11, 2012 92   @ LSU L 67-80 6%     1 - 7 -4.7 -8.0 +4.6
  Dec 16, 2012 138   Mercer L 53-63 22%     1 - 8 -11.5 -16.5 +4.3
  Dec 28, 2012 220   High Point W 68-61 38%     2 - 8 +0.4 -12.4 +12.3
  Dec 29, 2012 295   Utah Valley W 76-69 46%     3 - 8 -1.6 -6.1 +4.2
  Jan 02, 2013 102   @ Georgia Tech L 58-74 6%     3 - 9 -8.2 -3.3 -6.0
  Jan 05, 2013 287   @ Samford W 74-70 32%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -0.8 +1.8 -2.4
  Jan 10, 2013 331   @ The Citadel W 70-65 52%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -5.2 -4.2 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2013 157   @ College of Charleston L 59-86 11%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -23.2 -15.7 -5.3
  Jan 17, 2013 259   Appalachian St. W 91-88 OT 48%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -6.0 -1.6 -4.9
  Jan 19, 2013 256   Western Carolina L 81-90 46%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -17.7 -3.2 -13.8
  Jan 24, 2013 208   @ Elon L 61-85 16%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -23.1 -13.7 -8.5
  Jan 27, 2013 289   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-77 33%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -13.0 -6.7 -6.3
  Feb 02, 2013 282   @ Georgia Southern L 57-59 30%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -6.1 -6.1 -0.4
  Feb 07, 2013 331   The Citadel W 89-76 75%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -3.7 +4.4 -7.9
  Feb 09, 2013 157   College of Charleston L 68-71 25%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -5.7 -1.1 -4.7
  Feb 11, 2013 287   Samford W 62-59 OT 57%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -8.3 -14.8 +6.6
  Feb 14, 2013 340   Furman W 83-49 79%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +15.9 -6.2 +19.4
  Feb 16, 2013 249   @ Wofford L 58-78 23%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -21.9 -8.3 -13.9
  Feb 21, 2013 289   UNC Greensboro L 68-94 57%     9 - 17 6 - 9 -37.5 -13.3 -23.2
  Feb 23, 2013 208   Elon W 72-68 35%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -1.6 +3.2 -4.4
  Feb 28, 2013 256   @ Western Carolina W 81-72 24%     11 - 17 8 - 9 +6.8 +10.8 -3.4
  Mar 02, 2013 259   @ Appalachian St. L 60-86 25%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -28.5 -17.4 -9.9
  Mar 08, 2013 289   UNC Greensboro L 81-87 45%     11 - 19 -14.2 +1.9 -15.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%