Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#278
Pace58.2#327
Improvement+3.0#57

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#239
Improvement+1.9#85

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#287
Improvement+1.1#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 237   Mississippi St. W 56-53 54%     1 - 0 -4.6 -8.3 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2012 95   @ Texas A&M L 65-83 9%     1 - 1 -9.8 +7.8 -20.6
  Nov 18, 2012 86   Louisiana Tech L 46-70 13%     1 - 2 -18.4 -18.3 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2012 309   @ Chattanooga W 68-61 49%     2 - 2 +0.6 -9.2 +9.9
  Nov 20, 2012 225   Southeast Missouri St. W 59-56 38%     3 - 2 -0.6 -12.2 +11.9
  Nov 25, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 66-62 83%     4 - 2 -13.1 -7.3 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2012 167   UAB L 55-75 37%     4 - 3 -23.3 -20.2 -2.3
  Nov 29, 2012 223   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 56-58 27%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -2.2 -5.1 +2.5
  Dec 01, 2012 183   Western Kentucky L 71-75 40%     4 - 5 0 - 2 -8.2 +1.5 -10.0
  Dec 08, 2012 295   Utah Valley L 82-86 2OT 69%     4 - 6 -15.9 -15.4 +0.4
  Dec 13, 2012 333   @ Alabama St. L 68-74 65%     4 - 7 -16.6 -8.4 -8.3
  Dec 15, 2012 191   Georgia St. W 57-56 41%     5 - 7 -3.5 -11.6 +8.2
  Dec 19, 2012 295   @ Utah Valley L 64-67 OT 45%     5 - 8 -8.4 -11.1 +2.6
  Dec 27, 2012 234   Florida Atlantic L 54-61 53%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -14.4 -20.9 +6.3
  Jan 03, 2013 261   @ North Texas L 59-76 34%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -19.5 -14.5 -4.9
  Jan 05, 2013 223   Arkansas Little Rock W 67-64 50%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -3.7 -2.5 -1.0
  Jan 10, 2013 326   Louisiana Monroe W 64-55 79%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -6.3 -4.5 -0.1
  Jan 17, 2013 234   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-80 29%     7 - 11 2 - 5 -22.0 -1.1 -25.5
  Jan 19, 2013 187   @ Florida International L 55-61 20%     7 - 12 2 - 6 -3.9 -5.2 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2013 150   Arkansas St. W 74-67 OT 34%     8 - 12 3 - 6 +4.5 +6.6 -1.8
  Jan 26, 2013 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 71-64 OT 58%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -1.8 -4.8 +3.1
  Jan 31, 2013 183   @ Western Kentucky L 61-65 20%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -1.7 +2.4 -5.0
  Feb 02, 2013 233   Louisiana W 71-52 52%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +11.7 +4.1 +10.3
  Feb 07, 2013 202   @ South Alabama L 62-65 22%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -1.6 -0.8 -1.1
  Feb 09, 2013 52   @ Middle Tennessee L 41-93 4%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -38.9 -18.4 -27.1
  Feb 14, 2013 187   Florida International W 69-61 41%     11 - 15 6 - 9 +3.6 +5.8 -0.9
  Feb 16, 2013 261   North Texas L 61-63 59%     11 - 16 6 - 10 -11.0 -5.7 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2013 233   @ Louisiana L 66-76 29%     11 - 17 6 - 11 -10.8 -5.8 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2013 150   @ Arkansas St. L 50-58 16%     11 - 18 6 - 12 -4.0 -14.1 +9.6
  Feb 28, 2013 52   Middle Tennessee L 56-66 11%     11 - 19 6 - 13 -3.4 -5.7 +1.2
  Mar 02, 2013 202   South Alabama L 49-53 44%     11 - 20 6 - 14 -9.1 -18.6 +9.0
  Mar 08, 2013 234   Florida Atlantic W 81-79 OT 40%     12 - 20 -2.2 +4.4 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2013 150   Arkansas St. L 63-68 OT 24%     12 - 21 -4.2 -5.4 +1.1
Projected Record 12.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%