Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 Mercer 100.0%   14   23 - 8 14 - 4 23 - 8 14 - 4 +4.4      +2.1 121 +2.2 111 66.1 222 +4.1 113 +0.7 2
173 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 -0.5      +0.3 169 -0.8 199 66.4 210 -2.5 209 -3.8 3
189 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   20 - 12 14 - 4 20 - 12 14 - 4 -1.4      -2.8 251 +1.4 130 69.6 134 -1.6 188 +1.7 1
251 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 -4.8      -1.5 213 -3.3 256 75.8 32 -4.2 240 -4.8 6
269 North Florida 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -5.9      -1.7 218 -4.2 281 72.6 67 -3.9 233 -4.6 5
272 Lipscomb 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -6.0      -1.0 196 -5.0 302 75.3 40 -4.2 239 -4.6 4
303 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 9 - 21 5 - 13 -9.3      -1.8 220 -7.5 333 61.6 316 -10.3 314 -12.2 9
308 Jacksonville 0.0%   10 - 18 8 - 10 10 - 18 8 - 10 -9.6      -1.1 201 -8.5 341 73.6 54 -8.6 295 -7.2 7
337 Stetson 0.0%   7 - 24 5 - 13 7 - 24 5 - 13 -13.5      -7.0 324 -6.5 328 62.0 309 -11.9 321 -11.5 8
339 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 15 4 - 25 3 - 15 -13.9      -9.0 340 -4.9 296 71.1 95 -14.9 337 -15.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Mercer 1.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 3.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 1.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 4.0 100.0
North Florida 4.0 100.0
Lipscomb 4.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 8.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
Stetson 8.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Mercer 14 - 4 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 11 - 7 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 14 - 4 100.0
East Tennessee St. 10 - 8 100.0
North Florida 10 - 8 100.0
Lipscomb 10 - 8 100.0
Northern Kentucky 5 - 13 100.0
Jacksonville 8 - 10 100.0
Stetson 5 - 13 100.0
Kennesaw St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Mercer 100.0% 100.0
South Carolina Upstate
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 100.0
East Tennessee St.
North Florida
Lipscomb
Northern Kentucky
Jacksonville
Stetson
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Mercer 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 10.6 75.4 14.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Mercer 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.8% 0.1 88.2 11.8
Sweet Sixteen 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0