Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Atlantic Sun
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#102
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#113
Pace66.1#222
Improvement-1.3#239

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#121
Improvement-1.6#262

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#111
Improvement+0.2#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round11.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 38   @ Texas L 73-76 19%     0 - 1 +10.6 +4.4 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2013 70   Seton Hall W 77-74 2OT 50%     1 - 1 +7.5 -7.0 +14.0
  Nov 18, 2013 204   @ Evansville L 76-89 65%     1 - 2 -12.6 +1.8 -14.0
  Nov 23, 2013 175   Yale W 81-54 77%     2 - 2 +23.6 +11.5 +13.0
  Nov 26, 2013 125   @ Ohio L 67-76 45%     2 - 3 -3.2 -2.2 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2013 160   @ Valparaiso W 117-108 3OT 55%     3 - 3 +12.2 +12.7 -3.1
  Dec 02, 2013 27   @ Oklahoma L 82-96 14%     3 - 4 +2.1 +11.4 -8.9
  Dec 07, 2013 142   Denver W 64-63 OT 70%     4 - 4 +0.0 -8.6 +8.6
  Dec 16, 2013 326   Alcorn St. W 70-44 95%     5 - 4 +11.2 -5.6 +18.2
  Dec 22, 2013 87   @ Mississippi W 79-76 33%     6 - 4 +11.8 +7.0 +4.7
  Dec 30, 2013 308   @ Jacksonville W 86-49 85%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +30.2 +8.3 +22.8
  Jan 01, 2014 269   @ North Florida L 83-89 76%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -9.1 +1.0 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2014 173   South Carolina Upstate W 62-60 OT 77%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -1.3 -9.3 +8.1
  Jan 06, 2014 251   East Tennessee St. W 73-63 87%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +2.4 -0.5 +3.5
  Jan 10, 2014 339   Kennesaw St. W 83-46 96%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +20.3 +13.9 +10.9
  Jan 16, 2014 303   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-58 84%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +9.5 +10.1 +2.6
  Jan 18, 2014 272   @ Lipscomb W 87-66 76%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +17.8 +9.1 +8.4
  Jan 23, 2014 189   Florida Gulf Coast W 68-55 79%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +8.8 -7.6 +15.9
  Jan 25, 2014 337   Stetson W 87-49 96%     14 - 5 8 - 1 +21.7 +15.1 +10.5
  Jan 31, 2014 251   @ East Tennessee St. W 90-77 73%     15 - 5 9 - 1 +11.0 +19.6 -8.0
  Feb 02, 2014 173   @ South Carolina Upstate L 61-80 58%     15 - 6 9 - 2 -16.7 -13.9 -2.0
  Feb 07, 2014 339   @ Kennesaw St. W 75-68 92%     16 - 6 10 - 2 -4.1 -2.2 -2.0
  Feb 14, 2014 272   Lipscomb W 79-48 89%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +22.2 +3.5 +20.2
  Feb 16, 2014 303   Northern Kentucky W 89-67 93%     18 - 6 12 - 2 +9.9 +15.2 -3.3
  Feb 21, 2014 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-75 61%     18 - 7 12 - 3 -12.6 -8.5 -4.2
  Feb 23, 2014 337   @ Stetson W 73-52 91%     19 - 7 13 - 3 +10.3 -1.5 +12.8
  Feb 27, 2014 269   North Florida L 76-79 OT 88%     19 - 8 13 - 4 -11.6 -10.1 -1.2
  Mar 01, 2014 308   Jacksonville W 69-55 93%     20 - 8 14 - 4 +1.6 -9.9 +12.3
  Mar 04, 2014 308   Jacksonville W 85-64 93%     21 - 8 +8.6 +6.6 +3.1
  Mar 06, 2014 173   South Carolina Upstate W 78-75 2OT 77%     22 - 8 -0.3 +1.8 -2.2
  Mar 09, 2014 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 68-60 61%     23 - 8 +9.4 +5.6 +4.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.0 0.1 10.6 75.4 14.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 10.6 75.4 14.0