Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
124 American 100.0%   15   20 - 12 13 - 5 20 - 12 13 - 5 +3.0      -0.5 190 +3.5 84 57.5 346 +1.5 145 +2.6 2
128 Boston University 0.0%   24 - 10 15 - 3 24 - 10 15 - 3 +2.7      +0.4 161 +2.2 108 69.2 143 +4.7 103 +6.5 1
165 Holy Cross 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 +0.1      -1.3 210 +1.4 133 64.6 263 +0.7 155 +1.4 3
168 Bucknell 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 7 16 - 14 11 - 7 -0.1      -2.2 233 +2.2 112 63.9 276 -0.6 177 -0.1 4
190 Colgate 0.0%   12 - 18 6 - 12 12 - 18 6 - 12 -1.6      +2.5 111 -4.1 278 62.3 305 -5.3 253 -7.0 9
221 Army 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -3.3      +0.4 166 -3.7 266 72.3 72 -3.5 223 -1.1 5
252 Lehigh 0.0%   14 - 18 7 - 11 14 - 18 7 - 11 -4.8      -5.2 295 +0.4 157 67.7 175 -3.9 234 -5.1 6
253 Lafayette 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 10 - 20 6 - 12 -4.8      +3.2 97 -8.0 338 67.0 196 -6.0 266 -6.6 8
288 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 12 10 - 19 6 - 12 -8.1      -5.6 304 -2.5 236 68.1 165 -6.1 267 -6.2 7
298 Navy 0.0%   8 - 21 4 - 14 8 - 21 4 - 14 -9.0      -8.3 336 -0.8 197 62.5 301 -9.8 309 -9.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
American 2.0 100.0
Boston University 1.0 100.0
Holy Cross 3.0 100.0
Bucknell 4.0 100.0
Colgate 7.0 100.0
Army 5.0 100.0
Lehigh 6.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7.0 100.0
Navy 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
American 13 - 5 100.0
Boston University 15 - 3 100.0
Holy Cross 12 - 6 100.0
Bucknell 11 - 7 100.0
Colgate 6 - 12 100.0
Army 10 - 8 100.0
Lehigh 7 - 11 100.0
Lafayette 6 - 12 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6 - 12 100.0
Navy 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
American
Boston University 100.0% 100.0
Holy Cross
Bucknell
Colgate
Army
Lehigh
Lafayette
Loyola Maryland
Navy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
American 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 6.9 92.8 0.2
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
American 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0