Pre-tourney Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#41
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#36
Pace66.1#217
Improvement-0.9#211

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#69
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#39
Improvement-0.8#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round37.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2013 165   Holy Cross W 82-72 84%     1 - 0 +10.1 +5.6 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2013 332   Howard W 76-44 98%     2 - 0 +16.2 +3.7 +13.8
  Nov 20, 2013 210   Bryant W 86-68 92%     3 - 0 +12.6 +8.3 +4.1
  Nov 24, 2013 55   @ Colorado L 62-70 44%     3 - 1 +4.1 +0.0 +3.7
  Nov 28, 2013 142   Denver W 68-60 80%     4 - 1 +9.8 -0.1 +10.8
  Nov 29, 2013 64   Green Bay W 76-64 60%     5 - 1 +20.0 +13.3 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2013 195   TCU W 71-50 87%     6 - 1 +19.2 -4.5 +22.5
  Dec 04, 2013 205   @ Northeastern W 72-64 83%     7 - 1 +8.4 +5.4 +3.5
  Dec 07, 2013 128   @ Boston University W 79-68 OT 69%     8 - 1 +16.5 +3.4 +12.1
  Dec 21, 2013 89   Vermont W 74-68 76%     9 - 1 +9.2 +5.7 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2013 203   @ Fordham W 94-86 83%     10 - 1 +8.4 +11.0 -3.2
  Jan 01, 2014 130   Boston College W 73-58 84%     11 - 1 +14.8 +1.3 +14.9
  Jan 04, 2014 293   @ Rice W 69-54 93%     12 - 1 +9.2 +7.2 +4.5
  Jan 08, 2014 25   @ Connecticut L 56-61 29%     12 - 2 +11.2 -1.9 +12.7
  Jan 11, 2014 229   Dartmouth W 61-45 94%     13 - 2 1 - 0 +9.2 -5.9 +17.8
  Jan 21, 2014 239   @ Florida Atlantic L 53-68 87%     13 - 3 -16.5 -16.5 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2014 229   @ Dartmouth W 80-50 86%     14 - 3 2 - 0 +28.7 +6.5 +22.6
  Jan 31, 2014 103   Princeton W 82-76 81%     15 - 3 3 - 0 +7.4 +8.0 -0.8
  Feb 01, 2014 260   Penn W 80-50 95%     16 - 3 4 - 0 +21.7 +7.5 +15.4
  Feb 07, 2014 162   Brown W 52-45 88%     17 - 3 5 - 0 +4.5 -14.4 +19.6
  Feb 08, 2014 175   Yale L 67-74 90%     17 - 4 5 - 1 -10.4 -4.3 -6.3
  Feb 14, 2014 134   @ Columbia W 88-84 2OT 71%     18 - 4 6 - 1 +8.9 +12.1 -3.4
  Feb 15, 2014 334   @ Cornell W 67-44 96%     19 - 4 7 - 1 +12.5 +3.8 +15.2
  Feb 21, 2014 260   @ Penn W 83-63 89%     20 - 4 8 - 1 +17.3 +12.9 +5.1
  Feb 22, 2014 103   @ Princeton W 59-47 64%     21 - 4 9 - 1 +19.0 -5.0 +25.0
  Feb 28, 2014 334   Cornell W 72-47 98%     22 - 4 10 - 1 +8.9 +2.9 +11.5
  Mar 01, 2014 134   Columbia W 80-47 85%     23 - 4 11 - 1 +32.4 +19.2 +18.1
  Mar 07, 2014 175   @ Yale W 70-58 79%     24 - 4 12 - 1 +14.1 +3.5 +11.2
  Mar 08, 2014 162   @ Brown W 98-93 OT 76%     25 - 4 13 - 1 +8.1 +17.2 -9.7
Projected Record 25.0 - 4.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.2 0.1 0.3 4.0 75.9 19.7 0.2
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.2 0.1 0.3 4.0 75.9 19.7 0.2