Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#25
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#17
Pace65.6#234
Improvement+0.7#147

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#67
Improvement-2.5#296

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#10
Improvement+3.2#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 7.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 83.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round64.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen29.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.2% n/a n/a
Final Four5.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 48   Maryland W 78-77 63%     1 - 0 +10.9 +12.1 -1.2
  Nov 11, 2013 175   Yale W 80-62 93%     2 - 0 +14.6 +10.1 +5.1
  Nov 14, 2013 191   Detroit Mercy W 101-55 94%     3 - 0 +41.6 +21.3 +17.4
  Nov 17, 2013 128   Boston University W 77-60 89%     4 - 0 +16.9 +13.5 +5.3
  Nov 21, 2013 130   Boston College W 72-70 84%     5 - 0 +4.6 -1.8 +6.5
  Nov 22, 2013 58   Indiana W 59-58 67%     6 - 0 +9.8 -6.5 +16.3
  Nov 26, 2013 288   Loyola Maryland W 76-66 98%     7 - 0 -0.9 -1.8 +0.7
  Dec 02, 2013 3   Florida W 65-64 42%     8 - 0 +16.5 +5.9 +10.7
  Dec 06, 2013 343   Maine W 95-68 99%     9 - 0 +9.5 +6.3 +1.2
  Dec 18, 2013 34   Stanford L 51-53 67%     9 - 1 +6.8 -15.5 +22.1
  Dec 22, 2013 91   @ Washington W 82-70 68%     10 - 1 +20.6 +13.3 +7.6
  Dec 28, 2013 228   Eastern Washington W 82-65 94%     11 - 1 +13.0 +3.1 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2013 127   @ Houston L 71-75 77%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +1.5 +2.9 -1.7
  Jan 04, 2014 32   @ SMU L 65-74 46%     11 - 3 0 - 2 +5.5 +7.9 -3.2
  Jan 08, 2014 41   Harvard W 61-56 71%     12 - 3 +12.8 -2.1 +15.3
  Jan 11, 2014 148   Central Florida W 84-61 91%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +21.6 +6.3 +14.4
  Jan 16, 2014 36   @ Memphis W 83-73 48%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +23.9 +23.9 +0.7
  Jan 18, 2014 1   Louisville L 64-76 28%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +7.6 +2.1 +5.4
  Jan 21, 2014 146   Temple W 90-66 91%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +22.7 +11.0 +11.2
  Jan 25, 2014 166   @ Rutgers W 82-71 84%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +13.9 +9.7 +4.2
  Jan 30, 2014 127   Houston W 80-43 89%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +36.9 +2.6 +33.7
  Feb 06, 2014 26   @ Cincinnati L 58-63 40%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +11.1 +3.6 +6.9
  Feb 09, 2014 148   @ Central Florida W 75-55 81%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +24.2 +5.0 +19.7
  Feb 12, 2014 177   South Florida W 83-40 94%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +39.3 +11.0 +28.9
  Feb 15, 2014 36   Memphis W 86-81 OT 69%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +13.3 +8.9 +3.8
  Feb 20, 2014 146   @ Temple W 68-55 80%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +17.3 -6.1 +23.4
  Feb 23, 2014 32   SMU L 55-64 67%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +0.0 -7.1 +6.4
  Feb 26, 2014 177   @ South Florida W 61-56 86%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +6.9 -0.7 +8.3
  Mar 01, 2014 26   Cincinnati W 51-45 61%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +16.5 -8.9 +25.8
  Mar 05, 2014 166   Rutgers W 69-63 93%     24 - 6 12 - 5 +3.3 -1.5 +5.2
  Mar 08, 2014 1   @ Louisville L 48-81 14%     24 - 7 12 - 6 -7.8 -10.6 +1.9
  Mar 13, 2014 36   Memphis W 72-53 59%     25 - 7 +30.1 +8.1 +22.7
  Mar 14, 2014 26   Cincinnati W 58-56 50%     26 - 7 +15.3 +8.3 +7.4
  Mar 15, 2014 1   Louisville L 61-71 20%     26 - 8 +12.4 +4.3 +7.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.7 0.5 7.1 36.8 38.6 15.4 1.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.7 0.5 7.1 36.8 38.6 15.4 1.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%