Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#160
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#163
Pace66.7#204
Improvement-1.9#257

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#206
Improvement-5.1#341

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#125
Improvement+3.2#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 167   Murray St. W 77-74 62%     1 - 0 +0.2 -7.3 +7.2
  Nov 13, 2013 59   @ Illinois L 52-64 15%     1 - 1 -0.5 -10.2 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2013 125   @ Ohio L 72-76 30%     1 - 2 +1.8 -1.2 +3.2
  Nov 20, 2013 204   @ Evansville L 92-100 50%     1 - 3 -7.6 +15.3 -22.5
  Nov 23, 2013 262   James Madison W 81-49 80%     2 - 3 +23.6 +17.5 +10.8
  Nov 26, 2013 148   Central Florida W 85-70 57%     3 - 3 +13.6 +13.4 +0.7
  Nov 29, 2013 102   Mercer L 108-117 3OT 45%     3 - 4 -7.4 +4.1 -8.9
  Dec 04, 2013 287   @ Ball St. W 69-50 71%     4 - 4 +13.7 -3.8 +17.8
  Dec 07, 2013 42   Saint Louis L 65-67 24%     4 - 5 +5.8 +2.1 +3.6
  Dec 14, 2013 174   Loyola Marymount W 80-73 64%     5 - 5 +3.6 +4.7 -1.1
  Dec 22, 2013 148   @ Central Florida L 62-90 36%     5 - 6 -23.8 -11.1 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2013 251   @ East Tennessee St. L 62-73 59%     5 - 7 -13.0 -13.8 +1.0
  Jan 02, 2014 266   Illinois-Chicago W 87-72 80%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +6.5 +12.2 -5.4
  Jan 04, 2014 185   @ Oakland L 70-75 46%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -3.5 +1.2 -5.3
  Jan 10, 2014 145   Wright St. L 45-62 56%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -18.2 -17.9 -2.9
  Jan 15, 2014 191   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-70 47%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +9.2 +5.6 +3.4
  Jan 18, 2014 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-62 61%     8 - 9 3 - 2 +10.4 -0.3 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2014 182   @ Youngstown St. W 74-71 45%     9 - 9 4 - 2 +4.8 +3.6 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2014 93   @ Cleveland St. L 50-69 22%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -10.7 -12.1 -1.6
  Jan 29, 2014 64   Green Bay W 75-60 32%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +20.2 +4.1 +15.7
  Feb 01, 2014 266   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-46 63%     11 - 10 6 - 3 +21.1 +3.6 +19.9
  Feb 07, 2014 191   Detroit Mercy L 57-59 68%     11 - 11 6 - 4 -6.4 -15.5 +9.1
  Feb 09, 2014 185   Oakland W 63-60 67%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -1.1 -8.1 +7.3
  Feb 15, 2014 164   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-62 40%     13 - 11 8 - 4 +18.0 +5.6 +12.3
  Feb 20, 2014 64   @ Green Bay L 53-67 16%     13 - 12 8 - 5 -3.2 -9.3 +5.2
  Feb 22, 2014 182   Youngstown St. W 68-66 66%     14 - 12 9 - 5 -1.8 -0.1 -1.4
  Feb 25, 2014 145   @ Wright St. L 58-67 35%     14 - 13 9 - 6 -4.6 -3.6 -1.8
  Mar 01, 2014 93   Cleveland St. L 52-63 41%     14 - 14 9 - 7 -8.2 -15.8 +6.5
  Mar 04, 2014 266   Illinois-Chicago W 73-63 80%     15 - 14 +1.5 -3.6 +5.0
  Mar 07, 2014 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 57-74 51%     15 - 15 -16.8 -9.0 -9.7
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%