Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#85
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#96
Pace69.7#130
Improvement-1.3#235

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
Improvement-0.2#194

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#129
Improvement-1.1#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 119   Western Michigan L 64-70 61%     0 - 1 -2.7 +0.2 -3.6
  Nov 09, 2013 290   Tennessee St. W 70-55 91%     1 - 1 +6.6 -6.2 +13.4
  Nov 12, 2013 135   @ Hawaii W 95-88 55%     2 - 1 +11.9 +6.9 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2013 100   UTEP W 86-73 67%     3 - 1 +14.7 +14.9 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2013 218   Northern Colorado W 67-63 87%     4 - 1 -2.0 -13.2 +11.2
  Nov 23, 2013 100   @ UTEP W 77-68 46%     5 - 1 +16.2 +8.1 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2013 333   Bethune-Cookman W 79-56 97%     6 - 1 +7.2 +15.0 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2013 329   Prairie View W 91-60 96%     7 - 1 +15.9 +3.8 +9.6
  Nov 30, 2013 132   @ Colorado St. L 83-85 54%     7 - 2 +3.2 -0.3 +3.8
  Dec 04, 2013 31   New Mexico L 70-79 39%     7 - 3 +0.1 -0.1 +0.4
  Dec 07, 2013 23   @ Gonzaga L 68-80 17%     7 - 4 +4.4 +7.1 -3.1
  Dec 11, 2013 2   @ Arizona L 48-74 7%     7 - 5 -3.1 -6.7 +2.1
  Dec 14, 2013 176   @ Drake W 81-69 OT 66%     8 - 5 +13.9 -2.6 +14.9
  Dec 17, 2013 31   @ New Mexico W 67-61 21%     9 - 5 +20.6 +8.2 +13.1
  Dec 28, 2013 250   South Alabama W 82-64 89%     10 - 5 +10.5 +13.2 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2014 235   @ Grand Canyon W 84-62 77%     11 - 5 1 - 0 +20.6 +10.9 +10.3
  Jan 09, 2014 247   Seattle W 96-87 89%     12 - 5 2 - 0 +1.6 +15.1 -14.1
  Jan 11, 2014 246   Idaho W 78-54 89%     13 - 5 3 - 0 +16.7 +0.4 +16.7
  Jan 16, 2014 286   @ Chicago St. L 81-86 85%     13 - 6 3 - 1 -9.8 -0.8 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2014 278   @ UMKC L 66-68 83%     13 - 7 3 - 2 -5.8 -7.0 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2014 291   UT Rio Grande Valley W 90-78 94%     14 - 7 4 - 2 +0.8 +12.7 -12.3
  Jan 30, 2014 223   Cal St. Bakersfield W 88-86 87%     15 - 7 5 - 2 -4.2 +5.3 -9.8
  Feb 01, 2014 200   Utah Valley W 72-49 85%     16 - 7 6 - 2 +18.0 +15.1 +8.8
  Feb 06, 2014 246   @ Idaho L 67-73 78%     16 - 8 6 - 3 -7.8 -5.1 -3.0
  Feb 08, 2014 247   @ Seattle W 92-77 78%     17 - 8 7 - 3 +13.1 +9.3 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2014 278   UMKC W 71-48 92%     18 - 8 8 - 3 +13.6 -2.9 +17.4
  Feb 15, 2014 286   Chicago St. W 84-55 93%     19 - 8 9 - 3 +18.6 +7.9 +11.0
  Feb 20, 2014 291   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-61 86%     20 - 8 10 - 3 +11.3 +14.7 -1.5
  Feb 27, 2014 200   @ Utah Valley L 61-66 OT 71%     20 - 9 10 - 4 -4.4 -10.7 +6.2
  Mar 01, 2014 223   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-57 74%     21 - 9 11 - 4 +14.3 +1.3 +13.3
  Mar 06, 2014 235   Grand Canyon W 81-57 89%     22 - 9 12 - 4 +17.0 +3.3 +13.9
  Mar 13, 2014 247   Seattle W 70-68 84%     23 - 9 -2.7 +2.1 -4.6
  Mar 14, 2014 223   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-63 82%     24 - 9 +2.5 +8.4 -4.7
  Mar 15, 2014 246   Idaho W 77-55 84%     25 - 9 +17.5 +13.2 +8.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 7.0 68.6 24.3 0.1
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2 7.0 68.6 24.3 0.1