Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.1#2
Expected Predictive Rating+20.9#3
Pace64.8#257
Improvement-0.9#213

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#37
Improvement-2.2#284

Defense
Total Defense+14.0#1
Improvement+1.3#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 30.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 83.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen78.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight55.0% n/a n/a
Final Four36.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game23.5% n/a n/a
National Champion14.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 178   Cal Poly W 73-62 98%     1 - 0 +7.3 +9.0 -0.2
  Nov 11, 2013 140   Long Beach St. W 91-57 96%     2 - 0 +33.0 +18.7 +14.4
  Nov 14, 2013 29   @ San Diego St. W 69-60 67%     3 - 0 +24.5 +12.1 +13.0
  Nov 18, 2013 285   Fairleigh Dickinson W 100-50 99%     4 - 0 +39.7 +21.1 +19.1
  Nov 19, 2013 111   Rhode Island W 87-59 95%     5 - 0 +29.1 +11.4 +16.0
  Nov 27, 2013 147   Drexel W 66-62 95%     6 - 0 +5.5 -4.1 +9.6
  Nov 29, 2013 8   Duke W 72-66 63%     7 - 0 +22.8 +2.0 +20.7
  Dec 03, 2013 71   Texas Tech W 79-58 92%     8 - 0 +25.4 +12.0 +14.7
  Dec 07, 2013 77   UNLV W 63-58 93%     9 - 0 +8.9 -4.4 +13.5
  Dec 11, 2013 85   New Mexico St. W 74-48 93%     10 - 0 +29.4 +5.5 +25.3
  Dec 14, 2013 13   @ Michigan W 72-70 58%     11 - 0 +20.1 +11.6 +8.8
  Dec 19, 2013 206   Southern W 69-43 98%     12 - 0 +20.8 +2.5 +19.9
  Dec 23, 2013 256   Northern Arizona W 77-44 99%     13 - 0 +25.1 +14.3 +16.7
  Jan 02, 2014 158   Washington St. W 60-25 97%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +32.8 +2.2 +39.1
  Jan 04, 2014 91   Washington W 71-62 94%     15 - 0 2 - 0 +12.0 -1.1 +13.3
  Jan 09, 2014 11   @ UCLA W 79-75 55%     16 - 0 3 - 0 +22.8 +13.1 +9.6
  Jan 12, 2014 143   @ USC W 73-53 92%     17 - 0 4 - 0 +24.5 +10.7 +15.7
  Jan 16, 2014 37   Arizona St. W 91-68 87%     18 - 0 5 - 0 +31.1 +14.4 +14.3
  Jan 23, 2014 55   Colorado W 69-57 89%     19 - 0 6 - 0 +18.5 +6.1 +13.3
  Jan 26, 2014 33   Utah W 65-56 85%     20 - 0 7 - 0 +17.9 +6.0 +13.1
  Jan 29, 2014 34   @ Stanford W 60-57 71%     21 - 0 8 - 0 +17.3 -2.2 +19.7
  Feb 01, 2014 62   @ California L 58-60 80%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +9.2 -6.9 +16.0
  Feb 06, 2014 24   Oregon W 67-65 81%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +12.7 +4.2 +8.7
  Feb 09, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 76-54 93%     23 - 1 10 - 1 +25.2 +10.3 +17.1
  Feb 14, 2014 37   @ Arizona St. L 66-69 2OT 73%     23 - 2 10 - 2 +10.7 -6.6 +17.6
  Feb 19, 2014 33   @ Utah W 67-63 OT 71%     24 - 2 11 - 2 +18.5 +2.3 +16.2
  Feb 22, 2014 55   @ Colorado W 88-61 78%     25 - 2 12 - 2 +39.1 +26.3 +13.9
  Feb 26, 2014 62   California W 87-59 91%     26 - 2 13 - 2 +33.6 +16.5 +16.9
  Mar 02, 2014 34   Stanford W 79-66 85%     27 - 2 14 - 2 +21.8 +10.8 +11.1
  Mar 05, 2014 90   @ Oregon St. W 74-69 86%     28 - 2 15 - 2 +13.7 +2.8 +10.9
  Mar 08, 2014 24   @ Oregon L 57-64 65%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +9.2 -8.3 +17.3
  Mar 13, 2014 33   Utah W 71-39 79%     29 - 3 +43.7 +15.7 +33.0
  Mar 14, 2014 55   Colorado W 63-43 84%     30 - 3 +29.3 +8.6 +24.6
  Mar 15, 2014 11   UCLA L 71-75 66%     30 - 4 +12.0 +3.4 +8.7
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.8 16.0 0.2 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.8 16.0 0.2 100.0%