Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#75
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#50
Pace63.1#289
Improvement+0.3#165

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#62
Improvement+1.7#94

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#105
Improvement-1.4#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.1% n/a n/a
First Round6.8% n/a n/a
Second Round1.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 305   Jackson St. W 67-51 95%     1 - 0 +3.6 -9.6 +13.1
  Nov 13, 2013 154   @ DePaul W 75-68 62%     2 - 0 +10.7 +4.4 +6.4
  Nov 18, 2013 67   @ North Dakota St. W 70-69 36%     3 - 0 +11.5 +3.3 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2013 250   @ South Alabama W 66-59 80%     4 - 0 +5.0 +7.2 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2013 344   Houston Baptist W 67-62 97%     5 - 0 -9.7 -5.4 -3.9
  Nov 29, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 38-69 5%     5 - 1 -5.8 -17.4 +8.0
  Dec 04, 2013 184   Morehead St. W 74-60 85%     6 - 1 +10.0 +2.0 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2013 72   Georgia St. W 75-65 OT 59%     7 - 1 +14.4 +0.2 +14.1
  Dec 18, 2013 181   @ Western Kentucky L 65-68 69%     7 - 2 -1.2 +6.8 -8.6
  Dec 20, 2013 295   Coppin St. W 88-74 92%     8 - 2 +5.3 +11.4 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2013 222   Arkansas Little Rock W 74-60 83%     9 - 2 +10.6 +1.3 +9.3
  Dec 28, 2013 111   @ Rhode Island W 77-64 51%     10 - 2 +19.7 +11.7 +8.4
  Jan 03, 2014 147   Drexel W 66-49 78%     11 - 2 +15.7 -0.1 +17.4
  Jan 09, 2014 237   @ North Texas W 74-64 79%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +8.5 +1.5 +6.8
  Jan 12, 2014 78   @ Tulsa L 71-75 40%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +5.4 +10.3 -5.1
  Jan 16, 2014 293   Rice W 84-62 94%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +10.7 +11.2 +0.3
  Jan 19, 2014 39   Louisiana Tech W 80-71 46%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +16.9 +15.4 +1.8
  Jan 23, 2014 183   @ Old Dominion W 75-60 70%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +16.6 +14.3 +4.0
  Jan 25, 2014 217   @ East Carolina W 60-46 76%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +13.6 -10.9 +25.5
  Feb 01, 2014 281   Tulane W 78-47 93%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +21.4 +12.5 +13.9
  Feb 07, 2014 232   Marshall W 60-57 90%     18 - 3 7 - 1 -3.9 -1.8 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2014 179   Charlotte W 81-64 84%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +13.3 +5.6 +7.3
  Feb 13, 2014 163   @ UAB L 60-84 64%     19 - 4 8 - 2 -20.9 -7.0 -15.0
  Feb 15, 2014 97   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-81 47%     19 - 5 8 - 3 -9.4 +4.9 -16.0
  Feb 20, 2014 301   Texas San Antonio W 85-56 95%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +17.1 -0.8 +16.3
  Feb 22, 2014 100   UTEP W 77-68 69%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +10.7 +19.8 -7.6
  Feb 27, 2014 227   Florida International W 78-66 89%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +5.4 -2.0 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2014 239   @ Florida Atlantic W 60-49 79%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +9.5 -6.3 +16.9
  Mar 06, 2014 281   @ Tulane W 68-51 84%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +13.0 +6.5 +9.9
  Mar 13, 2014 100   UTEP W 64-56 59%     25 - 5 +12.5 +1.4 +11.8
  Mar 14, 2014 39   Louisiana Tech L 70-88 35%     25 - 6 -7.3 +4.0 -11.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 16.8% 16.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 3.7 12.9 0.0 83.2 16.8%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 16.8% 0.0% 16.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 3.7 12.9 0.0 83.2 16.8%