Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
American Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+22.4#1
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#13
Pace72.0#81
Improvement+3.9#38

Offense
Total Offense+10.7#7
Improvement+0.6#148

Defense
Total Defense+11.7#2
Improvement+3.4#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 13.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 88.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen80.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight59.0% n/a n/a
Final Four43.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game31.8% n/a n/a
National Champion23.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2013 194   College of Charleston W 70-48 99%     1 - 0 +17.5 +4.8 +14.5
  Nov 12, 2013 259   Hofstra W 97-69 99%     2 - 0 +19.9 +14.1 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2013 334   Cornell W 99-54 99.8%    3 - 0 +28.9 +6.7 +18.9
  Nov 19, 2013 230   Hartford W 87-48 99%     4 - 0 +32.2 +15.1 +19.1
  Nov 23, 2013 271   Fairfield W 71-57 99%     5 - 0 +8.1 -6.0 +13.3
  Nov 24, 2013 28   North Carolina L 84-93 81%     5 - 1 +4.2 +9.5 -4.3
  Nov 29, 2013 75   Southern Miss W 69-38 95%     6 - 1 +35.1 +5.0 +33.6
  Dec 04, 2013 278   UMKC W 90-62 99%     7 - 1 +18.6 +8.9 +8.3
  Dec 07, 2013 122   Louisiana W 113-74 97%     8 - 1 +39.3 +33.2 +4.5
  Dec 14, 2013 181   Western Kentucky W 79-63 98%     9 - 1 +12.2 +17.0 -2.6
  Dec 17, 2013 151   Missouri St. W 90-60 98%     10 - 1 +28.5 +13.9 +14.0
  Dec 21, 2013 227   @ Florida International W 85-56 97%     11 - 1 +28.0 +12.4 +15.6
  Dec 28, 2013 19   @ Kentucky L 66-73 70%     11 - 2 +10.1 +0.0 +10.3
  Dec 31, 2013 148   @ Central Florida W 90-65 94%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +29.2 +16.3 +12.4
  Jan 04, 2014 166   @ Rutgers W 83-76 95%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +9.9 +3.2 +6.0
  Jan 09, 2014 36   Memphis L 67-73 90%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +2.3 -2.3 +4.7
  Jan 12, 2014 32   SMU W 71-63 89%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +17.0 +1.5 +15.1
  Jan 16, 2014 127   Houston W 91-52 97%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +38.9 +14.6 +24.2
  Jan 18, 2014 25   @ Connecticut W 76-64 72%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +28.2 +14.4 +13.9
  Jan 22, 2014 177   @ South Florida W 86-47 96%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +40.9 +21.9 +21.8
  Jan 30, 2014 26   Cincinnati L 66-69 86%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +7.5 +6.0 +1.3
  Feb 01, 2014 148   Central Florida W 87-70 98%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +15.6 +11.7 +3.8
  Feb 05, 2014 127   @ Houston W 77-62 93%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +20.5 +10.2 +11.6
  Feb 14, 2014 146   @ Temple W 82-58 94%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +28.3 +11.2 +18.1
  Feb 16, 2014 166   Rutgers W 102-54 98%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +45.3 +27.9 +17.8
  Feb 18, 2014 177   South Florida W 80-54 98%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +22.3 +9.3 +13.8
  Feb 22, 2014 26   @ Cincinnati W 58-57 73%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +17.1 +3.2 +14.0
  Feb 27, 2014 146   Temple W 88-66 98%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +20.7 +7.8 +12.1
  Mar 01, 2014 36   @ Memphis L 66-72 79%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +7.9 -1.0 +9.1
  Mar 05, 2014 32   @ SMU W 84-71 77%     25 - 5 14 - 3 +27.5 +17.5 +9.5
  Mar 08, 2014 25   Connecticut W 81-48 86%     26 - 5 15 - 3 +43.6 +17.8 +26.6
  Mar 13, 2014 166   Rutgers W 92-31 97%     27 - 5 +61.1 +10.6 +45.3
  Mar 14, 2014 127   Houston W 94-65 96%     28 - 5 +31.7 +16.3 +14.5
  Mar 15, 2014 25   Connecticut W 71-61 80%     29 - 5 +23.4 +12.3 +11.8
Projected Record 29.0 - 5.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.5 2.9 10.6 29.3 45.3 10.9 1.0 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.5 2.9 10.6 29.3 45.3 10.9 1.0 0.1