Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#276
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#307
Pace61.0#327
Improvement-1.6#252

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#320
Improvement-3.6#320

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#154
Improvement+2.0#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 127   @ Houston L 70-76 14%     0 - 1 -0.5 -2.7 +2.2
  Nov 12, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin L 57-64 18%     0 - 2 -3.5 -11.6 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2013 202   @ Oral Roberts L 65-82 26%     0 - 3 -16.5 -2.3 -16.2
  Nov 20, 2013 32   @ SMU L 49-70 4%     0 - 4 -6.5 -11.9 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2013 241   South Dakota L 56-57 53%     0 - 5 -8.2 -16.8 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2013 281   Tulane W 70-52 52%     1 - 5 +11.2 +2.6 +11.0
  Nov 30, 2013 303   Northern Kentucky W 70-61 61%     2 - 5 -0.3 +0.2 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2013 234   Southeast Missouri St. L 74-82 42%     2 - 6 -12.2 +3.4 -16.4
  Dec 14, 2013 38   @ Texas L 53-85 4%     2 - 7 -18.4 -15.5 -0.6
  Dec 19, 2013 33   @ Utah L 50-69 4%     2 - 8 -4.5 -10.4 +4.2
  Dec 30, 2013 321   LIU Brooklyn L 64-73 77%     2 - 9 -23.0 -17.4 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock L 59-63 50%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -10.2 -8.8 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2014 161   Arkansas St. L 69-74 35%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -7.4 -3.2 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2014 243   @ Louisiana Monroe W 61-36 33%     3 - 11 1 - 2 +23.3 +5.7 +24.1
  Jan 13, 2014 122   @ Louisiana L 58-81 13%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -17.1 -10.5 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2014 216   Texas Arlington L 48-56 48%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -13.9 -27.0 +12.7
  Jan 23, 2014 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-69 29%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -5.6 +0.6 -6.9
  Jan 25, 2014 248   Troy W 73-65 54%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +0.5 -1.7 +2.6
  Feb 01, 2014 181   @ Western Kentucky L 64-68 22%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -2.2 -0.8 -1.7
  Feb 06, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe W 65-57 54%     5 - 15 3 - 6 +0.7 -0.2 +2.0
  Feb 08, 2014 122   Louisiana L 66-67 26%     5 - 16 3 - 7 -0.7 -2.6 +1.8
  Feb 15, 2014 216   @ Texas Arlington L 62-69 28%     5 - 17 3 - 8 -7.3 -8.5 +0.8
  Feb 17, 2014 72   @ Georgia St. L 41-68 7%     5 - 18 3 - 9 -17.0 -23.6 +2.4
  Feb 20, 2014 250   South Alabama W 67-66 OT 55%     6 - 18 4 - 9 -6.5 -10.8 +4.2
  Feb 22, 2014 161   @ Arkansas St. L 68-73 19%     6 - 19 4 - 10 -1.9 -1.7 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2014 181   Western Kentucky L 50-51 40%     6 - 20 4 - 11 -4.8 -15.2 +10.3
  Mar 01, 2014 72   Georgia St. L 55-66 16%     6 - 21 4 - 12 -6.6 -12.7 +5.0
  Mar 06, 2014 250   @ South Alabama L 53-63 34%     6 - 22 4 - 13 -12.0 -19.2 +7.0
  Mar 08, 2014 248   @ Troy L 50-72 33%     6 - 23 4 - 14 -23.9 -15.5 -12.3
Projected Record 6.0 - 23.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%