Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#33
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#54
Pace64.7#261
Improvement-0.5#197

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#51
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#35
Improvement+0.2#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four26.6% n/a n/a
First Round22.3% n/a n/a
Second Round10.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2013 304   UC Davis W 94-60 98%     1 - 0 +21.7 +2.9 +15.4
  Nov 21, 2013 235   Grand Canyon W 79-54 95%     2 - 0 +18.0 -0.6 +18.2
  Nov 22, 2013 342   Lamar W 84-57 99%     3 - 0 +9.8 +0.8 +8.0
  Nov 23, 2013 280   Savannah St. W 71-57 96%     4 - 0 +4.5 +10.5 -3.9
  Nov 27, 2013 287   Ball St. W 88-69 97%     5 - 0 +8.1 +9.6 -1.8
  Dec 03, 2013 68   @ Boise St. L 67-69 56%     5 - 1 +8.1 -1.2 +9.2
  Dec 07, 2013 123   Fresno St. W 90-77 86%     6 - 1 +13.3 +17.9 -4.2
  Dec 10, 2013 254   Idaho St. W 74-66 95%     7 - 1 +0.3 +7.5 -5.9
  Dec 14, 2013 47   BYU W 81-64 66%     8 - 1 +24.4 +1.8 +20.9
  Dec 19, 2013 276   Texas St. W 69-50 96%     9 - 1 +9.9 +1.6 +10.0
  Jan 02, 2014 24   Oregon L 68-70 OT 54%     9 - 2 0 - 1 +8.7 -9.2 +18.0
  Jan 04, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 80-69 79%     10 - 2 1 - 1 +14.2 +22.0 -5.7
  Jan 08, 2014 91   @ Washington L 57-59 62%     10 - 3 1 - 2 +6.6 -8.6 +15.1
  Jan 12, 2014 158   @ Washington St. L 46-49 79%     10 - 4 1 - 3 +0.3 -13.2 +12.9
  Jan 16, 2014 143   USC W 84-66 88%     11 - 4 2 - 3 +17.0 +13.0 +4.2
  Jan 18, 2014 11   UCLA W 74-69 44%     12 - 4 3 - 3 +18.2 +1.4 +16.5
  Jan 23, 2014 37   @ Arizona St. L 75-79 42%     12 - 5 3 - 4 +9.7 +11.5 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2014 2   @ Arizona L 56-65 15%     12 - 6 3 - 5 +13.9 +6.1 +6.7
  Feb 01, 2014 55   @ Colorado L 75-79 OT 48%     12 - 7 3 - 6 +8.1 +11.2 -3.1
  Feb 06, 2014 91   Washington W 78-69 79%     13 - 7 4 - 6 +12.0 +0.7 +11.0
  Feb 08, 2014 158   Washington St. W 81-63 90%     14 - 7 5 - 6 +15.8 +16.8 +0.8
  Feb 13, 2014 143   @ USC W 79-71 75%     15 - 7 6 - 6 +12.5 +9.8 +2.7
  Feb 15, 2014 11   @ UCLA L 66-80 25%     15 - 8 6 - 7 +4.8 +4.5 -0.4
  Feb 19, 2014 2   Arizona L 63-67 OT 29%     15 - 9 6 - 8 +13.3 +3.0 +10.3
  Feb 23, 2014 37   Arizona St. W 86-63 64%     16 - 9 7 - 8 +31.1 +8.5 +19.8
  Mar 01, 2014 55   Colorado W 75-64 69%     17 - 9 8 - 8 +17.5 +8.7 +9.1
  Mar 05, 2014 62   @ California W 63-59 52%     18 - 9 9 - 8 +15.2 +2.8 +12.8
  Mar 08, 2014 34   @ Stanford L 60-61 40%     18 - 10 9 - 9 +13.3 +7.3 +5.9
  Mar 12, 2014 91   Washington W 67-61 71%     19 - 10 +11.8 -0.3 +12.5
  Mar 13, 2014 2   Arizona L 39-71 21%     19 - 11 -11.9 -13.8 -3.0
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 33.9% 33.9% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.7 19.9 12.1 66.1 33.9%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 33.9% 0.0% 33.9% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.7 19.9 12.1 66.1 33.9%