Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
61 Buffalo 100.0%   12   23 - 9 12 - 6 23 - 9 12 - 6 +7.8      +3.9 61 +3.9 61 77.0 15 +7.6 64 +5.6 3
88 Central Michigan 0.4%   20 - 8 12 - 6 20 - 8 12 - 6 +5.4      +2.7 88 +2.7 88 64.4 225 +5.9 85 +5.7 2
93 Toledo 0.0%   20 - 13 11 - 7 20 - 13 11 - 7 +4.7      +2.4 93 +2.4 93 70.9 66 +4.1 102 +4.3 4
101 Bowling Green 0.0%   20 - 10 11 - 7 20 - 10 11 - 7 +4.3      +2.1 101 +2.1 101 63.9 245 +4.3 100 +4.0 5
106 Akron 0.0%   20 - 14 9 - 9 20 - 14 9 - 9 +3.9      +1.9 106 +1.9 106 65.4 188 +2.9 124 +2.0 7
125 Kent St. 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 +2.7      +1.3 125 +1.3 125 60.8 304 +4.1 104 +5.9 1
130 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   17 - 13 8 - 10 17 - 13 8 - 10 +2.2      +1.1 130 +1.1 130 69.3 100 +2.4 135 -0.2 10
140 Western Michigan 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +1.8      +0.9 140 +0.9 140 66.4 165 +3.4 115 +3.6 6
171 Northern Illinois 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -0.5      -0.2 171 -0.2 171 62.9 266 -0.5 168 +0.5 9
211 Miami (OH) 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -2.3      -1.1 211 -1.1 211 66.2 170 -2.5 209 +1.0 8
224 Ohio 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 13 10 - 20 5 - 13 -3.2      -1.6 224 -1.6 224 70.9 67 -3.1 225 -2.9 11
249 Ball St. 0.0%   6 - 23 2 - 16 6 - 23 2 - 16 -4.9      -2.5 249 -2.5 249 64.4 221 -8.3 302 -9.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Buffalo 1.0 100.0
Central Michigan 1.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Bowling Green 4.0 100.0
Akron 7.0 100.0
Kent St. 1.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 8.0 100.0
Western Michigan 6.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 8.0 100.0
Ohio 11.0 100.0
Ball St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Buffalo 12 - 6 100.0
Central Michigan 12 - 6 100.0
Toledo 11 - 7 100.0
Bowling Green 11 - 7 100.0
Akron 9 - 9 100.0
Kent St. 12 - 6 100.0
Eastern Michigan 8 - 10 100.0
Western Michigan 10 - 8 100.0
Northern Illinois 8 - 10 100.0
Miami (OH) 8 - 10 100.0
Ohio 5 - 13 100.0
Ball St. 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0
Central Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Toledo
Bowling Green
Akron
Kent St. 100.0% 100.0
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Ball St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.4 8.4 79.6 11.7
Central Michigan 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Buffalo 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 29.1% 9.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
2nd Round 29.1% 0.3 70.9 29.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 9.3% 0.1 90.7 9.3
Elite Eight 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0