Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#61
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#64
Pace77.0#15
Improvement+2.0#89

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#61
Improvement+4.3#13

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#61
Improvement-2.3#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round29.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 111   South Dakota St. W 69-67 75%     1 - 0 +2.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2014 1   @ Kentucky L 52-71 5%     1 - 1 +8.1 +13.6 +13.6
  Nov 18, 2014 203   @ Texas Arlington W 74-68 75%     2 - 1 +6.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Nov 25, 2014 261   @ Grand Canyon W 80-64 84%     3 - 1 +13.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2014 173   Canisius W 72-57 79%     4 - 1 +14.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Dec 03, 2014 105   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-72 54%     4 - 2 -2.1 +3.4 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2014 182   @ Robert Morris W 74-59 72%     5 - 2 +16.7 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 16, 2014 252   Drexel W 80-70 92%     6 - 2 +2.1 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 19, 2014 299   Niagara W 88-62 95%     7 - 2 +15.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 28, 2014 3   @ Wisconsin L 56-68 7%     7 - 3 +11.9 +12.0 +12.0
  Dec 30, 2014 321   @ Binghamton W 76-50 92%     8 - 3 +18.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 03, 2015 210   Cornell W 92-73 88%     9 - 3 +13.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 07, 2015 211   @ Miami (OH) W 79-72 76%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +7.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 10, 2015 140   @ Western Michigan L 68-78 62%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -5.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 14, 2015 171   Northern Illinois W 82-63 85%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +15.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 17, 2015 211   Miami (OH) W 77-68 88%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +3.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 21, 2015 88   @ Central Michigan L 73-84 48%     12 - 5 3 - 2 -2.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 24, 2015 224   @ Ohio L 61-63 78%     12 - 6 3 - 3 -2.3 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 27, 2015 140   Western Michigan W 77-71 80%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +4.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 30, 2015 125   Kent St. W 80-55 78%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +24.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 04, 2015 249   @ Ball St. W 82-78 82%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +2.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 07, 2015 106   @ Akron L 72-75 54%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +3.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 10, 2015 93   Toledo L 88-92 72%     15 - 8 6 - 5 -2.2 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 14, 2015 88   Central Michigan L 74-75 70%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +1.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 18, 2015 130   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-63 61%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +20.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 21, 2015 101   @ Bowling Green W 68-56 53%     17 - 9 8 - 6 +19.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 24, 2015 106   Akron W 67-62 74%     18 - 9 9 - 6 +6.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 28, 2015 125   @ Kent St. W 71-65 59%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +11.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 03, 2015 224   Ohio W 93-66 90%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +20.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Mar 06, 2015 101   Bowling Green W 77-75 73%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +3.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 13, 2015 106   Akron W 68-59 65%     22 - 9 +12.9 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 14, 2015 88   Central Michigan W 89-84 60%     23 - 9 +10.4 +2.7 +2.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.4 8.4 79.6 11.7
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.4 8.4 79.6 11.7