Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+22.2#2
Expected Predictive Rating+20.2#7
Pace70.2#82
Improvement+5.9#6

Offense
Total Offense+11.1#2
Improvement+1.7#90

Defense
Total Defense+11.1#2
Improvement+4.2#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 37.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 93.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen83.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight65.3% n/a n/a
Final Four42.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game26.2% n/a n/a
National Champion14.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 231   Mount St. Mary's W 78-55 99%     1 - 0 +16.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 16, 2014 260   Cal St. Northridge W 86-68 99%     2 - 0 +9.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2014 102   UC Irvine W 71-54 96%     3 - 0 +18.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2014 166   Missouri W 72-53 97%     4 - 0 +18.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Nov 25, 2014 66   Kansas St. W 72-68 91%     5 - 0 +11.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 26, 2014 42   San Diego St. W 61-59 87%     6 - 0 +11.8 +4.9 +4.9
  Dec 02, 2014 227   Gardner-Webb W 91-65 99%     7 - 0 +19.7 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 06, 2014 7   Gonzaga W 66-63 OT 72%     8 - 0 +19.2 +8.1 +8.1
  Dec 09, 2014 322   Utah Valley W 87-56 99.6%    9 - 0 +17.4 -6.8 -6.8
  Dec 13, 2014 64   Michigan W 80-53 94%     10 - 0 +31.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Dec 16, 2014 157   Oakland W 101-64 98%     11 - 0 +34.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Dec 19, 2014 99   @ UTEP W 60-55 91%     12 - 0 +12.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 23, 2014 97   @ UNLV L 67-71 91%     12 - 1 +3.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Jan 04, 2015 65   Arizona St. W 73-49 94%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +28.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Jan 08, 2015 47   @ Oregon W 80-62 82%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +30.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Jan 11, 2015 96   @ Oregon St. L 56-58 91%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +5.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 15, 2015 83   Colorado W 68-54 95%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +16.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 17, 2015 8   Utah W 69-51 77%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +32.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Jan 22, 2015 50   @ Stanford W 89-82 83%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +19.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 24, 2015 108   @ California W 73-50 92%     18 - 2 6 - 1 +29.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 28, 2015 47   Oregon W 90-56 92%     19 - 2 7 - 1 +40.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 30, 2015 96   Oregon St. W 57-34 96%     20 - 2 8 - 1 +24.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 07, 2015 65   @ Arizona St. L 78-81 87%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +7.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 13, 2015 116   @ Washington W 86-62 92%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +30.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 15, 2015 167   @ Washington St. W 86-59 95%     22 - 3 10 - 2 +29.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 19, 2015 142   USC W 87-57 98%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +28.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 21, 2015 40   UCLA W 57-47 91%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +17.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2015 83   @ Colorado W 82-54 89%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +36.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Feb 28, 2015 8   @ Utah W 63-57 58%     26 - 3 14 - 2 +26.3 +10.1 +10.1
  Mar 05, 2015 108   California W 99-60 97%     27 - 3 15 - 2 +39.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 07, 2015 50   Stanford W 91-69 92%     28 - 3 16 - 2 +28.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 12, 2015 108   California W 73-51 95%     29 - 3 +25.8 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 13, 2015 40   UCLA W 70-64 87%     30 - 3 +16.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Mar 14, 2015 47   Oregon W 80-52 88%     31 - 3 +37.6 +4.8 +4.8
Projected Record 31.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 37.4 55.6 7.0 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.7 37.4 55.6 7.0 0.0