Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.4#8
Expected Predictive Rating+13.2#21
Pace59.9#311
Improvement-2.2#269

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#8
Improvement-1.4#253

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#8
Improvement-0.8#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 18.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 73.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round81.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen48.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight22.8% n/a n/a
Final Four11.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.7% n/a n/a
National Champion1.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 249   Ball St. W 90-72 98%     1 - 0 +10.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Nov 18, 2014 42   @ San Diego St. L 49-53 67%     1 - 1 +8.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2014 218   UC Riverside W 88-42 97%     2 - 1 +40.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 26, 2014 332   UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-48 99%     3 - 1 +21.7 -7.7 -7.7
  Nov 28, 2014 318   North Dakota W 90-53 99%     4 - 1 +24.1 -6.4 -6.4
  Nov 29, 2014 274   Alabama St. W 93-62 98%     5 - 1 +22.1 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 03, 2014 19   Wichita St. W 69-68 OT 75%     6 - 1 +11.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 10, 2014 28   @ BYU W 65-61 60%     7 - 1 +18.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Dec 13, 2014 11   Kansas L 60-63 53%     7 - 2 +13.5 +8.3 +8.3
  Dec 20, 2014 97   UNLV W 59-46 88%     8 - 2 +17.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 23, 2014 111   South Dakota St. W 80-66 93%     9 - 2 +14.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 02, 2015 142   USC W 79-55 95%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +22.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 04, 2015 40   UCLA W 71-39 83%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +39.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2015 83   Colorado W 74-49 91%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +27.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 15, 2015 65   @ Arizona St. W 76-59 75%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +27.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 17, 2015 2   @ Arizona L 51-69 23%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +7.1 +12.6 +12.6
  Jan 21, 2015 167   Washington St. W 86-64 96%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +18.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 25, 2015 116   Washington W 77-56 93%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +21.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 29, 2015 40   @ UCLA L 59-69 66%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +3.1 +6.5 +6.5
  Feb 01, 2015 142   @ USC W 67-39 88%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +32.5 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 07, 2015 83   @ Colorado W 79-51 80%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +36.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Feb 12, 2015 50   Stanford W 75-59 85%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +22.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 15, 2015 108   California W 76-61 93%     19 - 4 10 - 2 +15.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 19, 2015 96   @ Oregon St. W 47-37 83%     20 - 4 11 - 2 +17.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 22, 2015 47   @ Oregon L 58-69 68%     20 - 5 11 - 3 +1.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Feb 26, 2015 65   Arizona St. W 83-41 88%     21 - 5 12 - 3 +46.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 28, 2015 2   Arizona L 57-63 42%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +13.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Mar 05, 2015 167   @ Washington St. W 67-59 91%     22 - 6 13 - 4 +10.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Mar 07, 2015 116   @ Washington L 68-77 85%     22 - 7 13 - 5 -2.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Mar 12, 2015 50   Stanford W 80-56 78%     23 - 7 +33.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Mar 13, 2015 47   Oregon L 64-67 77%     23 - 8 +6.6 +4.8 +4.8
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 5.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 16.5 28.9 26.3 19.2 5.9 1.0 0.1 0.4 99.6%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 5.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 16.5 28.9 26.3 19.2 5.9 1.0 0.1 0.4 99.6%