Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#67
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#80
Pace61.8#282
Improvement-0.9#223

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#67
Improvement+1.7#89

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#67
Improvement-2.6#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.0% n/a n/a
First Round3.2% n/a n/a
Second Round1.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 237   Bryant W 66-53 90%     1 - 0 +5.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2014 281   College of Charleston W 65-57 89%     2 - 0 +1.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2014 54   Dayton W 75-64 42%     3 - 0 +20.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2014 23   West Virginia L 68-78 29%     3 - 1 +2.9 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 30, 2014 18   Texas L 54-55 37%     3 - 2 +9.5 +5.3 +5.3
  Dec 05, 2014 89   Yale L 44-45 68%     3 - 3 +1.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Dec 14, 2014 335   Coppin St. W 106-85 97%     4 - 3 +5.1 -7.9 -7.9
  Dec 18, 2014 5   Duke L 56-66 12%     4 - 4 +9.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Dec 22, 2014 169   Columbia W 80-65 76%     5 - 4 +14.7 -0.1 -0.1
  Dec 28, 2014 340   Central Connecticut St. W 81-48 98%     6 - 4 +16.5 -8.2 -8.2
  Dec 31, 2014 68   Temple L 53-57 OT 61%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +0.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 03, 2015 39   @ Florida W 63-59 28%     7 - 5 +17.1 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 06, 2015 255   @ South Florida W 58-44 81%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +11.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 10, 2015 55   Cincinnati W 62-56 55%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +12.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 13, 2015 74   @ Tulsa L 58-66 41%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +1.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 17, 2015 50   @ Stanford L 59-72 32%     9 - 7 -0.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 22, 2015 267   Central Florida W 67-60 92%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -1.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 25, 2015 255   South Florida W 66-53 91%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +5.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Jan 29, 2015 55   @ Cincinnati L 58-70 33%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -0.3 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 01, 2015 197   @ Houston L 68-70 72%     11 - 9 4 - 4 -0.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2015 206   East Carolina W 65-52 87%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +7.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 07, 2015 213   @ Tulane W 62-53 74%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +9.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 12, 2015 74   Tulsa W 70-45 64%     14 - 9 7 - 4 +28.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 14, 2015 29   @ SMU L 55-73 24%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -3.6 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 19, 2015 87   @ Memphis L 72-75 46%     14 - 11 7 - 6 +5.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 22, 2015 213   Tulane W 67-60 87%     15 - 11 8 - 6 +1.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 25, 2015 206   @ East Carolina W 60-49 73%     16 - 11 9 - 6 +11.7 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 01, 2015 29   SMU W 81-73 44%     17 - 11 10 - 6 +16.6 +4.3 +4.3
  Mar 05, 2015 87   Memphis L 53-54 67%     17 - 12 10 - 7 +1.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Mar 07, 2015 68   @ Temple L 63-75 39%     17 - 13 10 - 8 -2.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Mar 12, 2015 255   South Florida W 69-43 91%     18 - 13 +18.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Mar 13, 2015 55   Cincinnati W 57-54 43%     19 - 13 +11.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Mar 14, 2015 74   Tulsa W 47-42 53%     20 - 13 +11.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 15, 2015 29   SMU L 54-62 33%     20 - 14 +3.5 +5.8 +5.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 7.2% 7.2% 11.6 0.0 2.8 4.3 0.0 92.8 7.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.2% 0.0% 7.2% 11.6 0.0 2.8 4.3 0.0 92.8 7.2%