Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
American Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#55
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#59
Pace56.7#342
Improvement-0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#55
Improvement+1.2#111

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#55
Improvement-1.3#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 77.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.5% n/a n/a
First Round75.6% n/a n/a
Second Round28.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 229   St. Francis (PA) W 52-37 91%     1 - 0 +8.6 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2014 153   Morehead St. W 69-61 85%     2 - 0 +5.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2014 233   Eastern Illinois W 54-49 92%     3 - 0 -1.7 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2014 132   NC Central W 59-50 82%     4 - 0 +8.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 28, 2014 150   Middle Tennessee W 69-51 77%     5 - 0 +19.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 29, 2014 44   Mississippi L 54-66 46%     5 - 1 -2.2 +4.9 +4.9
  Dec 02, 2014 145   Stony Brook W 78-52 83%     6 - 1 +24.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 13, 2014 103   @ Nebraska L 55-56 2OT 57%     6 - 2 +5.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Dec 17, 2014 42   San Diego St. W 71-62 OT 57%     7 - 2 +16.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Dec 20, 2014 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 47-68 54%     7 - 3 -13.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 23, 2014 306   Wagner W 72-48 96%     8 - 3 +12.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Dec 30, 2014 32   @ North Carolina St. W 76-60 31%     9 - 3 +30.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 03, 2015 29   SMU W 56-50 51%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +14.6 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 06, 2015 206   East Carolina W 69-48 90%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +15.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 10, 2015 67   @ Connecticut L 56-62 45%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +4.0 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 15, 2015 87   @ Memphis L 50-63 52%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -4.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 17, 2015 68   Temple W 84-53 67%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +35.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 21, 2015 197   Houston W 67-54 89%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +8.3 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 25, 2015 267   @ Central Florida W 56-46 86%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +7.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 29, 2015 67   Connecticut W 70-58 67%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +16.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 01, 2015 206   @ East Carolina L 46-50 78%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -3.3 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 05, 2015 29   @ SMU W 62-54 30%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +22.4 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 07, 2015 255   South Florida W 63-58 93%     17 - 6 8 - 3 -3.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 10, 2015 68   @ Temple L 59-75 46%     17 - 7 8 - 4 -6.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 14, 2015 213   Tulane L 49-50 90%     17 - 8 8 - 5 -6.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 18, 2015 24   Xavier L 57-59 47%     17 - 9 +7.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Feb 21, 2015 197   @ Houston W 63-53 77%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +11.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 25, 2015 267   Central Florida W 83-60 94%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +14.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 28, 2015 213   @ Tulane W 63-47 79%     20 - 9 11 - 5 +16.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 04, 2015 74   @ Tulsa W 56-47 48%     21 - 9 12 - 5 +18.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Mar 08, 2015 87   Memphis W 77-65 73%     22 - 9 13 - 5 +14.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Mar 13, 2015 67   Connecticut L 54-57 57%     22 - 10 +4.1 +3.6 +3.6
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 77.4% 77.4% 10.0 0.0 2.3 15.8 42.2 16.9 0.2 22.6 77.4%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 77.4% 0.0% 77.4% 10.0 0.0 2.3 15.8 42.2 16.9 0.2 22.6 77.4%