Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.9#4
Expected Predictive Rating+23.3#2
Pace66.4#167
Improvement+3.9#35

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#4
Improvement+3.2#34

Defense
Total Defense+10.5#4
Improvement+0.7#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 14.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 65.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen81.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight60.6% n/a n/a
Final Four37.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game20.9% n/a n/a
National Champion11.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 199   Lehigh W 77-66 97%     1 - 0 +9.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2014 222   Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-44 99%     2 - 0 +31.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2014 201   Bucknell W 72-65 98%     3 - 0 +2.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 24, 2014 34   Virginia Commonwealth W 77-53 83%     4 - 0 +34.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 25, 2014 64   Michigan W 60-55 89%     5 - 0 +12.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 30, 2014 256   Delaware W 78-47 98%     6 - 0 +25.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 03, 2014 100   @ La Salle W 84-70 90%     7 - 0 +21.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 06, 2014 158   Saint Joseph's W 74-46 98%     8 - 0 +25.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Dec 09, 2014 49   Illinois W 73-59 86%     9 - 0 +23.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 14, 2014 68   Temple W 85-62 93%     10 - 0 +27.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Dec 20, 2014 56   Syracuse W 82-77 OT 91%     11 - 0 +10.9 +3.0 +3.0
  Dec 23, 2014 181   NJIT W 92-67 98%     12 - 0 +21.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2014 20   Butler W 67-55 84%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +22.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 03, 2015 86   @ Seton Hall L 61-66 OT 88%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +3.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 06, 2015 37   @ St. John's W 90-72 77%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +31.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 10, 2015 139   DePaul W 81-64 97%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +15.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 14, 2015 24   Xavier W 88-75 85%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +22.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Jan 17, 2015 280   @ Penn W 62-47 98%     17 - 1 +11.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 19, 2015 21   @ Georgetown L 58-78 69%     17 - 2 4 - 2 -4.1 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 25, 2015 71   Creighton W 71-50 94%     18 - 2 5 - 2 +24.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 31, 2015 139   @ DePaul W 68-55 93%     19 - 2 6 - 2 +17.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2015 90   Marquette W 70-52 95%     20 - 2 7 - 2 +20.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 07, 2015 21   Georgetown W 69-53 84%     21 - 2 8 - 2 +26.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 11, 2015 25   @ Providence W 74-68 71%     22 - 2 9 - 2 +21.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 14, 2015 20   @ Butler W 68-65 68%     23 - 2 10 - 2 +19.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Feb 16, 2015 86   Seton Hall W 80-54 95%     24 - 2 11 - 2 +28.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 21, 2015 90   @ Marquette W 87-76 88%     25 - 2 12 - 2 +18.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 24, 2015 25   Providence W 89-61 86%     26 - 2 13 - 2 +37.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 28, 2015 24   @ Xavier W 78-66 70%     27 - 2 14 - 2 +27.4 +7.7 +7.7
  Mar 03, 2015 71   @ Creighton W 76-72 86%     28 - 2 15 - 2 +13.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Mar 07, 2015 37   St. John's W 105-68 89%     29 - 2 16 - 2 +44.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 12, 2015 90   Marquette W 84-49 92%     30 - 2 +40.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Mar 13, 2015 25   Providence W 63-61 79%     31 - 2 +14.3 +6.2 +6.2
  Mar 14, 2015 24   Xavier W 69-52 79%     32 - 2 +29.5 +6.3 +6.3
Projected Record 32.0 - 2.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.4 65.4 34.0 0.6
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.4 65.4 34.0 0.6