Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#24
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#37
Pace68.0#131
Improvement-2.7#285

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#24
Improvement-5.7#347

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#24
Improvement+3.1#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 24.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round59.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.8% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 202   Northern Arizona W 93-60 94%     1 - 0 +28.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2014 137   Long Beach St. W 97-74 89%     2 - 0 +21.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2014 46   Stephen F. Austin W 81-63 71%     3 - 0 +24.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2014 78   Murray St. W 89-62 81%     4 - 0 +30.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Nov 27, 2014 92   San Diego W 82-71 77%     5 - 0 +15.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2014 99   UTEP L 73-77 78%     5 - 1 +0.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Nov 30, 2014 137   Long Beach St. L 70-73 84%     5 - 2 -1.2 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 06, 2014 58   Alabama W 97-84 76%     6 - 2 +18.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 09, 2014 286   IUPUI W 66-43 97%     7 - 2 +13.4 -4.8 -4.8
  Dec 13, 2014 166   @ Missouri W 74-58 82%     8 - 2 +18.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 20, 2014 126   @ Auburn L 88-89 2OT 75%     8 - 3 +4.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Dec 28, 2014 175   Florida Gulf Coast W 71-57 93%     9 - 3 +10.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Dec 31, 2014 21   Georgetown W 70-53 59%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +27.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 03, 2015 139   @ DePaul L 68-71 77%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +1.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2015 86   Seton Hall W 69-58 82%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +13.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 10, 2015 20   @ Butler L 76-88 37%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +4.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 14, 2015 4   @ Villanova L 75-88 15%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +10.8 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 17, 2015 90   Marquette W 62-58 83%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +6.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 22, 2015 25   @ Providence L 66-69 OT 40%     12 - 7 3 - 4 +12.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Jan 24, 2015 139   DePaul W 89-76 89%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +11.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 27, 2015 21   @ Georgetown W 66-53 37%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +28.9 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 31, 2015 86   @ Seton Hall L 82-90 66%     14 - 8 5 - 5 +0.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 04, 2015 71   Creighton L 72-79 OT 80%     14 - 9 5 - 6 -3.3 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 07, 2015 25   Providence W 78-69 62%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +18.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 10, 2015 90   @ Marquette W 64-44 67%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +27.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 14, 2015 37   St. John's L 70-78 69%     16 - 10 7 - 7 -0.6 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 18, 2015 55   @ Cincinnati W 59-57 53%     17 - 10 +13.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 21, 2015 20   Butler W 73-56 59%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +27.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 23, 2015 37   @ St. John's L 57-58 47%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +12.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Feb 28, 2015 4   Villanova L 66-78 30%     18 - 12 8 - 9 +6.0 +9.0 +9.0
  Mar 07, 2015 71   @ Creighton W 74-73 62%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +10.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Mar 12, 2015 20   Butler W 67-61 OT 48%     20 - 12 +19.1 +6.5 +6.5
  Mar 13, 2015 21   Georgetown W 65-63 48%     21 - 12 +15.0 +6.5 +6.5
  Mar 14, 2015 4   Villanova L 52-69 21%     21 - 13 +3.9 +10.5 +10.5
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 7.0 0.1 3.8 20.3 50.2 23.9 1.6 0.0 0.2 99.8%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 7.0 0.1 3.8 20.3 50.2 23.9 1.6 0.0 0.2 99.8%