Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
189 New Orleans 100.0%   16   17 - 11 13 - 5 17 - 11 13 - 5 -1.3      -2.6 238 +1.3 128 63.9 267 -1.2 183 -2.0 1
207 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   17 - 11 12 - 6 17 - 11 12 - 6 -2.9      -1.0 194 -1.9 228 67.2 200 -2.1 200 -2.8 4
219 Houston Baptist 0.0%   13 - 13 12 - 6 13 - 13 12 - 6 -3.7      0.0 164 -3.7 273 72.0 75 -3.1 215 -2.4 2
228 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 15 - 14 12 - 6 -4.3      -4.8 290 +0.5 161 63.1 283 -4.2 234 -2.6 3
233 Lamar 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 8 15 - 14 10 - 8 -4.6      -0.9 192 -3.7 274 67.0 205 -5.2 242 -5.5 5
246 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 8 17 - 13 10 - 8 -5.1      -6.0 316 +0.9 143 72.6 67 -3.0 214 -5.5 6
249 SE Louisiana 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 9 14 - 16 9 - 9 -5.3      -5.9 312 +0.7 158 67.2 201 -6.6 261 -6.9 7
300 Northwestern St. 0.0%   9 - 16 7 - 11 9 - 16 7 - 11 -8.8      -2.4 229 -6.4 320 72.8 63 -7.9 286 -9.4 12
305 Abilene Christian 0.0%   9 - 16 7 - 11 9 - 16 7 - 11 -9.1      -5.0 296 -4.1 287 62.6 298 -8.5 295 -8.9 9
309 Incarnate Word 0.0%   8 - 17 7 - 11 8 - 17 7 - 11 -9.8      -2.5 233 -7.4 331 75.2 36 -9.0 301 -8.9 8
314 Central Arkansas 0.0%   8 - 24 7 - 11 8 - 24 7 - 11 -10.2      -0.7 188 -9.6 346 74.6 41 -10.1 311 -9.2 10
318 Nicholls St. 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 11 10 - 17 7 - 11 -10.5      -5.0 294 -5.5 309 73.4 55 -7.1 268 -9.2 11
319 McNeese St. 0.0%   5 - 21 4 - 14 5 - 21 4 - 14 -10.6      -5.9 310 -4.7 299 71.2 91 -12.1 329 -13.0 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
New Orleans 1.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 2.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 2.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 2.0 100.0
Lamar 5.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 5.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 7.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 8.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 8.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 8.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 8.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 8.0 100.0
McNeese St. 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
New Orleans 13 - 5 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 12 - 6 100.0
Houston Baptist 12 - 6 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 12 - 6 100.0
Lamar 10 - 8 100.0
Sam Houston St. 10 - 8 100.0
SE Louisiana 9 - 9 100.0
Northwestern St. 7 - 11 100.0
Abilene Christian 7 - 11 100.0
Incarnate Word 7 - 11 100.0
Central Arkansas 7 - 11 100.0
Nicholls St. 7 - 11 100.0
McNeese St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Orleans 100.0% 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Houston Baptist
Stephen F. Austin
Lamar
Sam Houston St.
SE Louisiana
Northwestern St.
Abilene Christian
Incarnate Word
Central Arkansas
Nicholls St.
McNeese St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Orleans 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 16.9 83.1
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Orleans 100.0% 48.2% 77.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.4% 0.8 22.6 77.4
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0