Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2016-17


Compare with others at bracketmatrix.com

View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Villanova Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Louisville At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Oregon At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  UCLA At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Florida At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Florida St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  SMU Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  West Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Butler At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Iowa St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Notre Dame At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Cincinnati At-Large 99.5% 99.5% 99.5%
6  Creighton At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Minnesota At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  St. Mary's At-Large 98.8% 98.8% 98.8%
7  Michigan Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Maryland At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
7  Arkansas At-Large 98.8% 98.8% 98.8%
8  Vanderbilt At-Large 96.8% 96.8% 96.8%
8  Virginia Tech At-Large 98.7% 98.7% 98.7%
8  Miami (FL) At-Large 97.1% 97.1% 97.1%
8  Seton Hall At-Large 96.9% 96.9% 96.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Marquette At-Large 95.6% 95.6% 95.6%
9  Dayton At-Large 95.2% 95.2% 95.2%
9  Michigan St. At-Large 94.0% 94.0% 94.0%
9  South Carolina At-Large 94.6% 94.6% 94.6%
10  Xavier At-Large 93.4% 93.4% 93.4%
10  Northwestern At-Large 93.7% 93.7% 93.7%
10  Wichita St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
10  Providence At-Large 85.5% 85.5% 85.5%
11  Rhode Island Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  Wake Forest At-Large 82.2% 82.2% 82.2%
11  Virginia Commonwealth At-Large 81.6% 81.6% 81.6%
11  Oklahoma St. At-Large 79.5% 79.5% 79.5%
11  Kansas St. At-Large 76.5% 76.5% 76.5%
11  USC At-Large 65.4% 65.4% 65.4%
12  Middle Tennessee Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Nevada Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  UNC Wilmington Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Princeton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  East Tennessee St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Bucknell Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Winthrop Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Florida Gulf Coast Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Northern Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Kent St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Troy Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  North Dakota Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Texas Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  New Orleans Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Jacksonville St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Mount St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  UC Davis Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  NC Central Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Wake Forest 82.2% 82.2% 82.2%
Virginia Commonwealth 81.6% 81.6% 81.6%
Oklahoma St. 79.5% 79.5% 79.5%
Kansas St. 76.5% 76.5% 76.5%
USC 65.4% 65.4% 65.4%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Syracuse 33.9% 33.9% 33.9%
Illinois 26.6% 26.6% 26.6%
Iowa 25.1% 25.1% 25.1%
Illinois St. 18.4% 18.4% 18.4%
California 16.1% 16.1% 16.1%
Indiana 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Georgia 12.3% 12.3% 12.3%
Houston 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Clemson 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%
Alabama 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
BYU 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Central Florida 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
TCU 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
Utah 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
Monmouth 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Ohio St. 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Texas Arlington 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
College of Charleston 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Colorado St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Mississippi 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Georgia Tech 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%