Pre-tourney Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#85
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Pace70.5#106
Improvement+1.1#115

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#87
First Shot+4.2#61
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks+0.8#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#60
Freethrows-0.4#197
Improvement+0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#95
First Shot+2.5#95
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#180
Layups/Dunks-2.3#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#11
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement+1.0#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round12.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 289   Manhattan W 76-64 93%     1 - 0 +1.4 -1.6 +2.9
  Nov 13, 2016 29   @ Wake Forest L 74-94 18%     1 - 1 -4.6 +9.0 -15.0
  Nov 16, 2016 275   Robert Morris W 75-62 91%     2 - 1 +3.6 +0.8 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2016 26   @ Butler L 60-86 13%     2 - 2 -8.2 -3.1 -6.3
  Nov 21, 2016 34   @ Vanderbilt W 75-72 20%     3 - 2 +17.9 +17.5 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2016 293   Norfolk St. W 84-58 90%     4 - 2 +17.6 +10.5 +7.3
  Nov 25, 2016 284   Northern Colorado W 75-63 89%     5 - 2 +4.3 +6.1 -0.9
  Nov 30, 2016 88   Richmond W 73-68 62%     6 - 2 +7.7 -6.1 +13.4
  Dec 03, 2016 139   @ La Salle L 73-83 57%     6 - 3 -6.1 -1.5 -4.5
  Dec 06, 2016 212   @ Fairfield W 75-64 73%     7 - 3 +10.3 +4.4 +5.9
  Dec 17, 2016 178   Siena L 68-71 73%     7 - 4 -3.7 +2.3 -6.3
  Dec 19, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 81-65 86%     8 - 4 +9.9 +3.5 +5.7
  Dec 22, 2016 76   Princeton L 70-72 55%     8 - 5 +2.4 +7.9 -5.7
  Dec 30, 2016 210   @ Navy W 59-55 73%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +3.6 -7.1 +11.0
  Jan 02, 2017 254   Army W 84-76 90%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +0.0 +6.5 -6.8
  Jan 05, 2017 304   @ American W 69-60 87%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +2.5 +0.9 +2.4
  Jan 08, 2017 222   @ Holy Cross W 68-49 75%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +17.7 +11.0 +10.4
  Jan 11, 2017 133   Lehigh L 71-82 74%     12 - 6 4 - 1 -11.9 +0.8 -13.1
  Jan 14, 2017 270   @ Colgate W 83-69 82%     13 - 6 5 - 1 +9.9 +18.7 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2017 251   Loyola Maryland W 76-63 89%     14 - 6 6 - 1 +5.1 +9.3 -2.8
  Jan 21, 2017 200   Boston University W 70-59 84%     15 - 6 7 - 1 +6.3 +2.8 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2017 330   @ Lafayette W 78-55 92%     16 - 6 8 - 1 +13.3 -2.2 +14.9
  Jan 28, 2017 254   @ Army W 96-75 80%     17 - 6 9 - 1 +18.1 +21.6 -4.1
  Feb 01, 2017 304   American W 80-60 94%     18 - 6 10 - 1 +8.4 +5.8 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2017 222   Holy Cross W 82-68 87%     19 - 6 11 - 1 +7.6 +7.3 +0.0
  Feb 08, 2017 133   @ Lehigh L 71-79 56%     19 - 7 11 - 2 -3.8 -2.9 -0.5
  Feb 13, 2017 270   Colgate W 75-58 91%     20 - 7 12 - 2 +7.8 +0.9 +7.6
  Feb 15, 2017 251   @ Loyola Maryland L 77-78 79%     20 - 8 12 - 3 -3.8 +10.0 -13.9
  Feb 19, 2017 200   @ Boston University W 86-66 70%     21 - 8 13 - 3 +20.3 +15.1 +5.3
  Feb 22, 2017 330   Lafayette W 94-64 96%     22 - 8 14 - 3 +15.2 +13.6 +1.7
  Feb 25, 2017 210   Navy W 82-60 85%     23 - 8 15 - 3 +16.5 -1.3 +15.1
  Mar 02, 2017 254   Army W 78-62 90%     24 - 8 +8.0 -0.8 +7.9
  Mar 05, 2017 210   Navy W 70-65 85%     25 - 8 -0.5 -0.4 +0.1
  Mar 08, 2017 133   Lehigh W 81-65 74%     26 - 8 +15.1 +8.8 +6.5
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.1 0.0 8.1 69.7 22.2 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 8.1 69.7 22.2 0.0