Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#87
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#102
Pace69.0#138
Improvement-2.4#283

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#96
First Shot+3.3#77
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#222
Layup/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#41
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement-0.8#222

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#88
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#113
Layups/Dunks-0.3#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
Freethrows+1.6#79
Improvement-1.6#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 272   Appalachian St. W 86-74 91%     1 - 0 +2.7 +6.9 -4.3
  Nov 17, 2016 39   Clemson L 78-95 28%     1 - 1 -5.5 +8.1 -13.3
  Nov 18, 2016 137   Missouri W 70-55 66%     2 - 1 +16.4 -1.9 +17.9
  Nov 20, 2016 114   Arizona St. W 68-60 60%     3 - 1 +11.1 -8.4 +19.2
  Nov 26, 2016 237   Charlotte W 79-57 88%     4 - 1 +14.8 -3.2 +16.7
  Nov 29, 2016 146   @ Mercer W 78-57 58%     5 - 1 +24.7 +9.0 +16.8
  Dec 04, 2016 93   @ College of Charleston L 61-76 43%     5 - 2 -7.6 -0.8 -8.2
  Dec 07, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 74-83 6%     5 - 3 +14.1 +4.1 +10.8
  Dec 17, 2016 6   Kansas L 71-89 10%     5 - 4 +1.4 +9.1 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2016 286   Jacksonville W 75-60 92%     6 - 4 +4.6 +0.3 +5.4
  Dec 28, 2016 333   Hartford W 105-75 96%     7 - 4 +14.4 +25.1 -11.4
  Dec 31, 2016 88   Richmond L 80-82 61%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +0.7 +9.2 -8.5
  Jan 05, 2017 113   @ George Washington L 69-73 50%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +1.6 -1.2 +2.8
  Jan 08, 2017 244   @ Saint Louis W 77-66 78%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +8.6 +14.9 -5.0
  Jan 11, 2017 192   Fordham L 54-60 82%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -10.1 -9.1 -1.8
  Jan 14, 2017 51   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-63 42%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +13.8 +1.3 +12.5
  Jan 19, 2017 139   @ La Salle L 83-91 57%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -4.1 +7.7 -11.6
  Jan 24, 2017 209   Duquesne W 74-60 85%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +8.5 -5.1 +12.9
  Jan 28, 2017 192   @ Fordham W 84-66 67%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +19.0 +20.4 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2017 179   @ Saint Joseph's W 75-60 64%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +16.9 +9.2 +8.7
  Feb 03, 2017 49   Rhode Island L 59-70 40%     12 - 9 5 - 5 -2.7 -4.2 +0.7
  Feb 08, 2017 109   George Mason L 69-76 68%     12 - 10 5 - 6 -6.1 -3.8 -2.4
  Feb 11, 2017 51   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-74 24%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -1.2 +0.5 -3.0
  Feb 15, 2017 113   George Washington W 74-63 69%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +11.5 +6.1 +6.3
  Feb 18, 2017 150   @ Massachusetts W 79-74 59%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +8.2 +2.4 +5.2
  Feb 21, 2017 88   @ Richmond L 76-84 42%     14 - 12 7 - 8 -0.2 +13.0 -13.9
  Feb 24, 2017 47   Dayton L 82-89 OT 39%     14 - 13 7 - 9 +1.4 +6.5 -4.6
  Feb 28, 2017 91   St. Bonaventure W 68-63 62%     15 - 13 8 - 9 +7.4 -1.9 +9.4
  Mar 04, 2017 49   @ Rhode Island L 70-73 OT 23%     15 - 14 8 - 10 +10.4 +6.3 +4.0
  Mar 09, 2017 139   La Salle W 82-73 66%     16 - 14 +10.4 +6.6 +3.7
  Mar 10, 2017 47   Dayton W 73-67 30%     17 - 14 +16.9 +9.6 +7.7
  Mar 11, 2017 49   Rhode Island L 60-84 31%     17 - 15 -13.1 +1.2 -17.5
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%