Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#162
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#165
Pace69.9#115
Improvement-2.4#284

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#112
First Shot+2.9#90
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#225
Layup/Dunks+0.0#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#114
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement+0.5#152

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#230
First Shot+0.2#160
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks+1.5#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
Freethrows-0.1#177
Improvement-2.9#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 240   @ San Diego W 83-65 59%     1 - 0 +15.7 +16.3 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2016 90   @ New Mexico St. L 48-58 24%     1 - 1 -2.5 -18.4 +14.9
  Nov 21, 2016 287   @ Campbell W 66-53 70%     2 - 1 +7.6 -4.4 +13.1
  Nov 23, 2016 24   @ Cincinnati L 55-70 6%     2 - 2 +3.0 -1.4 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2016 340   Bethune-Cookman W 93-65 94%     3 - 2 +10.4 +5.3 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2016 318   Nicholls St. L 103-106 2OT 89%     3 - 3 -16.0 +10.5 -26.2
  Nov 29, 2016 244   @ Saint Louis W 68-64 60%     4 - 3 +1.6 +0.5 +1.3
  Dec 04, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. W 81-77 62%     5 - 3 +0.9 +12.8 -11.6
  Dec 16, 2016 241   @ South Alabama W 82-79 60%     6 - 3 +0.6 +4.6 -4.2
  Dec 19, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 68-76 5%     6 - 4 +11.7 +2.2 +9.7
  Dec 22, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 83-63 95%     7 - 4 +0.8 -5.7 +4.9
  Dec 31, 2016 120   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-62 31%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +16.1 +7.4 +9.6
  Jan 02, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina W 70-65 78%     9 - 4 2 - 0 -2.8 +0.7 -3.4
  Jan 05, 2017 106   Furman L 73-83 46%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -8.8 +4.0 -13.3
  Jan 08, 2017 135   Wofford W 91-89 OT 55%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +1.0 +11.3 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2017 146   Mercer L 65-68 56%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -4.4 -4.1 -0.6
  Jan 14, 2017 297   @ The Citadel W 98-90 73%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +1.8 +0.4 +0.0
  Jan 21, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga L 78-82 33%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +0.7 +8.0 -7.3
  Jan 25, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 86-96 2OT 31%     11 - 8 4 - 4 -4.6 -0.5 -2.1
  Jan 28, 2017 324   @ VMI W 69-67 79%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -6.3 -11.4 +5.0
  Feb 02, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 82-63 88%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +6.1 +17.3 -8.9
  Feb 04, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 75-81 50%     13 - 9 6 - 5 -5.9 +6.3 -12.6
  Feb 09, 2017 135   @ Wofford L 127-131 4OT 35%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +0.0 +13.8 -12.5
  Feb 11, 2017 106   @ Furman L 73-90 28%     13 - 11 6 - 7 -10.8 +2.5 -13.1
  Feb 15, 2017 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 77-79 17%     13 - 12 6 - 8 +8.4 +13.6 -5.2
  Feb 18, 2017 324   VMI W 80-61 89%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +5.6 +5.9 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2017 124   Chattanooga W 72-68 OT 52%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +3.6 -2.4 +5.9
  Feb 25, 2017 297   The Citadel L 96-102 86%     15 - 13 8 - 9 -17.2 +0.2 -16.6
  Feb 27, 2017 146   @ Mercer L 79-88 37%     15 - 14 8 - 10 -5.3 +16.4 -22.9
  Mar 03, 2017 324   VMI W 79-61 85%     16 - 14 +7.1 -0.6 +7.7
  Mar 04, 2017 106   Furman W 67-63 36%     17 - 14 +7.7 +4.5 +3.7
  Mar 05, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 72-81 23%     17 - 15 -1.1 -0.4 -0.1
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%