Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#322
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#313
Pace76.3#25
Improvement-1.0#225

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#225
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#327
Layup/Dunks-0.9#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#124
Freethrows-1.8#283
Improvement+1.5#95

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#340
First Shot-6.3#333
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#332
Layups/Dunks-3.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#254
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement-2.5#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 276   Florida International W 82-67 45%     1 - 0 +5.6 +6.9 -0.5
  Nov 18, 2016 297   The Citadel L 112-116 52%     1 - 1 -15.2 +6.1 -20.5
  Nov 20, 2016 159   @ East Carolina L 50-73 10%     1 - 2 -20.0 -20.0 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2016 215   @ Air Force L 72-85 18%     1 - 3 -14.0 -5.0 -8.6
  Nov 25, 2016 298   Radford L 66-80 OT 42%     1 - 4 -22.7 -13.9 -7.7
  Nov 26, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 98-90 71%     2 - 4 -8.7 -2.0 -8.2
  Nov 30, 2016 68   @ Central Florida L 45-81 3%     2 - 5 -25.5 -18.9 -6.1
  Dec 05, 2016 65   @ Iowa L 68-95 3%     2 - 6 -16.0 -3.8 -11.1
  Dec 07, 2016 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 80-72 38%     3 - 6 +0.3 +5.4 -5.0
  Dec 10, 2016 241   South Alabama W 87-78 37%     4 - 6 +1.6 +4.6 -3.7
  Dec 18, 2016 148   Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-93 19%     4 - 7 -20.5 -11.4 -6.6
  Dec 22, 2016 287   @ Campbell L 72-81 30%     4 - 8 -14.4 +1.3 -16.4
  Dec 29, 2016 52   @ Alabama L 60-83 2%     4 - 9 -10.2 -5.0 -4.3
  Jan 07, 2017 117   Florida Gulf Coast L 88-89 15%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -0.8 +13.9 -14.7
  Jan 12, 2017 164   @ Lipscomb L 68-94 11%     4 - 11 0 - 2 -23.4 -11.2 -10.0
  Jan 14, 2017 252   @ Kennesaw St. L 65-84 22%     4 - 12 0 - 3 -21.9 -15.4 -5.0
  Jan 19, 2017 294   NJIT W 82-76 51%     5 - 12 1 - 3 -5.0 +4.5 -9.4
  Jan 21, 2017 238   South Carolina Upstate L 86-97 37%     5 - 13 1 - 4 -18.3 +5.2 -23.2
  Jan 25, 2017 286   @ Jacksonville L 92-103 30%     5 - 14 1 - 5 -16.3 +5.8 -21.1
  Jan 28, 2017 248   North Florida W 88-74 38%     6 - 14 2 - 5 +6.2 +4.4 +0.9
  Jan 30, 2017 286   Jacksonville L 86-89 49%     6 - 15 2 - 6 -13.4 +1.1 -14.3
  Feb 01, 2017 340   @ Bethune-Cookman W 76-67 57%     7 - 15 -3.6 +0.0 -3.2
  Feb 04, 2017 248   @ North Florida L 64-96 22%     7 - 16 2 - 7 -34.7 -13.4 -20.2
  Feb 09, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. L 85-92 39%     7 - 17 2 - 8 -14.9 +6.5 -21.4
  Feb 11, 2017 164   Lipscomb L 85-97 21%     7 - 18 2 - 9 -14.4 +6.3 -20.4
  Feb 16, 2017 238   @ South Carolina Upstate W 83-72 21%     8 - 18 3 - 9 +8.8 +6.4 +2.3
  Feb 18, 2017 294   @ NJIT L 56-60 32%     8 - 19 3 - 10 -9.9 -10.0 -0.5
  Feb 23, 2017 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-80 8%     8 - 20 3 - 11 -4.7 +3.8 -9.4
  Feb 27, 2017 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 57-87 8%     8 - 21 -24.7 -11.7 -14.8
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 3.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11 100.0% 100.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%