Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
93 Bucknell 100.0%   14   25 - 9 16 - 2 25 - 9 16 - 2 +5.5      +2.7 93 +2.7 93 77.0 28 +4.8 102 +6.0 1
198 Colgate 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 6 18 - 13 12 - 6 -2.3      -1.1 198 -1.1 198 65.3 271 -1.8 196 -0.8 2
220 Lehigh 0.0%   15 - 14 11 - 7 15 - 14 11 - 7 -3.5      -1.8 220 -1.8 220 74.6 54 -3.5 221 -2.2 4
221 Navy 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 -3.6      -1.8 221 -1.8 221 64.0 310 -1.8 195 -2.2 3
244 Boston University 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -4.9      -2.4 244 -2.4 244 68.1 207 -4.0 230 -3.5 5
256 Army 0.0%   12 - 17 6 - 12 12 - 17 6 - 12 -5.9      -2.9 256 -2.9 256 74.0 61 -6.3 266 -9.0 9
270 Holy Cross 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -6.4      -3.2 270 -3.2 270 59.6 348 -6.2 265 -6.1 6
272 Lafayette 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 9 - 21 7 - 11 -6.5      -3.2 272 -3.2 272 69.0 179 -9.1 302 -7.5 7
312 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -9.2      -4.6 312 -4.6 312 69.6 167 -9.5 305 -8.6 8
323 American 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 15 6 - 24 3 - 15 -10.3      -5.2 323 -5.2 323 65.8 256 -13.1 331 -13.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Colgate 2.0 100.0
Lehigh 3.0 100.0
Navy 3.0 100.0
Boston University 5.0 100.0
Army 8.0 100.0
Holy Cross 6.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8.0 100.0
American 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 16 - 2 100.0
Colgate 12 - 6 100.0
Lehigh 11 - 7 100.0
Navy 11 - 7 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 100.0
Army 6 - 12 100.0
Holy Cross 8 - 10 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6 - 12 100.0
American 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Colgate
Lehigh
Navy
Boston University
Army
Holy Cross
Lafayette
Loyola Maryland
American


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 10.8 73.0 16.1 0.1
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.9% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.9% 0.1 85.1 14.9
Sweet Sixteen 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0