Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
14 Tennessee 100.0%   3   25 - 8 13 - 5 25 - 8 13 - 5 +14.9      +7.4 14 +7.4 14 65.4 269 +16.3 12 +15.4 2
15 Auburn 100.0%   4   25 - 7 13 - 5 25 - 7 13 - 5 +14.7      +7.4 15 +7.4 15 78.5 21 +14.6 17 +15.6 1
16 Kentucky 100.0%   5   24 - 10 10 - 8 24 - 10 10 - 8 +14.7      +7.3 16 +7.3 16 70.7 130 +14.5 18 +12.1 4
22 Florida 100.0%   6   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 +13.8      +6.9 22 +6.9 22 67.2 227 +12.2 29 +12.8 3
30 Texas A&M 99.5%   7   20 - 12 9 - 9 20 - 12 9 - 9 +12.0      +6.0 30 +6.0 30 70.2 149 +12.5 25 +10.7 7
34 Arkansas 99.0%   6   23 - 11 10 - 8 23 - 11 10 - 8 +11.6      +5.8 34 +5.8 34 73.0 77 +13.2 23 +11.9 5
40 Missouri 89.1%   9   19 - 12 10 - 8 19 - 12 10 - 8 +10.9      +5.5 40 +5.5 40 64.5 293 +10.8 45 +11.9 6
46 Alabama 86.9%   9   19 - 15 8 - 10 19 - 15 8 - 10 +10.4      +5.2 46 +5.2 46 70.3 145 +10.0 55 +9.6 9
56 Mississippi St. 6.9%   21 - 11 9 - 9 21 - 11 9 - 9 +9.0      +4.5 56 +4.5 56 68.5 191 +10.6 49 +10.0 8
58 Georgia 3.1%   18 - 15 7 - 11 18 - 15 7 - 11 +8.9      +4.5 58 +4.5 58 61.9 334 +9.6 58 +8.4 12
59 LSU 5.4%   17 - 14 8 - 10 17 - 14 8 - 10 +8.9      +4.4 59 +4.4 59 68.9 184 +8.8 64 +9.1 10
72 South Carolina 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 +7.6      +3.8 72 +3.8 72 70.3 146 +7.7 71 +8.6 11
84 Vanderbilt 0.0%   12 - 20 6 - 12 12 - 20 6 - 12 +6.4      +3.2 84 +3.2 84 64.7 285 +5.3 92 +7.2 13
100 Mississippi 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 13 12 - 20 5 - 13 +5.0      +2.5 100 +2.5 100 72.4 89 +4.0 108 +5.7 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Tennessee 1.0 100.0
Auburn 1.0 100.0
Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Florida 3.0 100.0
Texas A&M 7.0 100.0
Arkansas 4.0 100.0
Missouri 4.0 100.0
Alabama 9.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 7.0 100.0
Georgia 11.0 100.0
LSU 9.0 100.0
South Carolina 11.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 13.0 100.0
Mississippi 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Tennessee 13 - 5 100.0
Auburn 13 - 5 100.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 100.0
Florida 11 - 7 100.0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas 10 - 8 100.0
Missouri 10 - 8 100.0
Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Mississippi St. 9 - 9 100.0
Georgia 7 - 11 100.0
LSU 8 - 10 100.0
South Carolina 7 - 11 100.0
Vanderbilt 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Tennessee 100.0% 100.0
Auburn 100.0% 100.0
Kentucky
Florida
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Missouri
Alabama
Mississippi St.
Georgia
LSU
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Mississippi


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.0 13.2 58.3 23.8 2.7 0.1 100.0%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.1 0.8 25.3 43.3 26.5 3.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5   0.0 0.3 10.9 30.8 41.5 15.9 0.6 0.0
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.1 0.9 18.2 61.0 19.4 0.4 0.0 100.0%
Texas A&M 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 7   0.1 3.2 32.0 45.3 15.7 3.0 0.3 0.5 99.5%
Arkansas 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 6   0.1 4.7 40.6 42.7 9.7 1.2 0.0 1.1 99.0%
Missouri 89.1% 0.0% 89.1% 9   0.3 5.8 27.5 33.8 19.1 2.6 10.9 89.1%
Alabama 86.9% 0.0% 86.9% 9   0.2 5.2 33.0 34.7 13.3 0.5 13.1 86.9%
Mississippi St. 6.9% 0.0% 6.9% 0.0 5.4 1.5 0.0 93.1 6.9%
Georgia 3.1% 0.0% 3.1% 0.1 2.7 0.3 96.9 3.1%
LSU 5.4% 0.0% 5.4% 0.0 0.2 4.8 0.4 94.6 5.4%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 85.6% 51.6% 23.5% 9.9% 3.9% 1.3%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.4% 46.7% 18.6% 8.6% 3.2% 1.2%
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 77.0% 42.1% 17.2% 7.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 65.8% 29.8% 12.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.6%
Texas A&M 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 55.7% 18.6% 7.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Arkansas 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 54.7% 17.4% 6.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Missouri 89.1% 2.4% 87.9% 43.2% 10.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Alabama 86.9% 0.4% 86.7% 40.9% 8.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Mississippi St. 6.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 3.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 5.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.9 0.0 1.3 18.5 69.5 10.3 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 7.8 0.0 1.6 21.5 71.4 5.5 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 5.1 0.2 2.1 8.0 21.5 31.0 25.4 10.3 1.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 96.0% 2.3 4.0 20.9 35.5 26.9 10.5 2.1 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 65.6% 0.9 34.4 43.2 18.6 3.4 0.3 0.0
Final Four 33.1% 0.4 66.9 29.3 3.7 0.1
Final Game 13.3% 0.1 86.7 13.0 0.3
Champion 4.7% 0.0 95.3 4.7