Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
113 Stephen F. Austin 97.7%   14   24 - 6 14 - 4 24 - 6 14 - 4 +4.0      +2.0 113 +2.0 113 75.3 46 +5.0 96 +0.8 3
187 SE Louisiana 0.0%   19 - 11 15 - 3 19 - 11 15 - 3 -1.6      -0.8 187 -0.8 187 64.9 281 +0.2 164 +3.5 2
189 Nicholls St. 0.0%   17 - 11 15 - 3 17 - 11 15 - 3 -1.7      -0.9 189 -0.9 189 81.3 10 -0.5 175 +3.7 1
214 Central Arkansas 0.0%   16 - 16 10 - 8 16 - 16 10 - 8 -3.1      -1.5 214 -1.5 214 79.3 15 -3.8 226 -4.0 6
216 Lamar 0.0%   15 - 13 11 - 7 15 - 13 11 - 7 -3.2      -1.6 216 -1.6 216 68.2 203 -4.0 229 -4.0 5
219 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 15 - 14 12 - 6 -3.3      -1.7 219 -1.7 219 65.8 254 -2.9 211 -1.5 4
265 New Orleans 0.0%   12 - 16 11 - 7 12 - 16 11 - 7 -6.2      -3.1 265 -3.1 265 65.2 277 -5.5 251 -4.1 7
268 Abilene Christian 1.9%   12 - 15 8 - 10 12 - 15 8 - 10 -6.3      -3.1 268 -3.1 268 69.3 172 -6.1 264 -7.3 8
304 McNeese St. 0.4%   8 - 17 8 - 10 8 - 17 8 - 10 -8.6      -4.3 304 -4.3 304 72.6 86 -9.0 301 -7.6 9
306 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   8 - 18 8 - 10 8 - 18 8 - 10 -8.8      -4.4 306 -4.4 306 68.4 192 -10.2 315 -8.1 10
334 Houston Baptist 0.0%   3 - 25 2 - 16 3 - 25 2 - 16 -13.3      -6.7 334 -6.7 334 80.6 12 -17.4 344 -19.2 12
341 Incarnate Word 0.0%   3 - 21 2 - 16 3 - 21 2 - 16 -14.9      -7.4 341 -7.4 341 71.7 107 -17.2 342 -19.0 11
344 Northwestern St. 0.0%   2 - 23 1 - 17 2 - 23 1 - 17 -15.4      -7.7 344 -7.7 344 70.9 124 -18.5 347 -21.9 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Stephen F. Austin 3.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 1.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 1.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 7.0 100.0
Lamar 5.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 4.0 100.0
New Orleans 5.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 8.0 100.0
McNeese St. 8.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 8.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 11.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 11.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Stephen F. Austin 14 - 4 100.0
SE Louisiana 15 - 3 100.0
Nicholls St. 15 - 3 100.0
Central Arkansas 10 - 8 100.0
Lamar 11 - 7 100.0
Sam Houston St. 12 - 6 100.0
New Orleans 11 - 7 100.0
Abilene Christian 8 - 10 100.0
McNeese St. 8 - 10 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 8 - 10 100.0
Houston Baptist 2 - 16 100.0
Incarnate Word 2 - 16 100.0
Northwestern St. 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin
SE Louisiana 100.0% 100.0
Nicholls St. 100.0% 100.0
Central Arkansas
Lamar
Sam Houston St.
New Orleans
Abilene Christian
McNeese St.
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Houston Baptist
Incarnate Word
Northwestern St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stephen F. Austin 97.7% 97.7% 0.0% 14   4.9 61.9 30.2 0.6 2.3 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stephen F. Austin 97.7% 0.0% 97.7% 10.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 1.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.8% 1.0 1.2 98.8
2nd Round 10.4% 0.1 89.6 10.4
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0