Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
74 South Dakota 0.0%   22 - 8 11 - 3 22 - 8 11 - 3 +7.3      +3.7 74 +3.7 74 73.1 75 +5.9 88 +6.2 2
76 South Dakota St. 100.0%   12   24 - 6 13 - 1 24 - 6 13 - 1 +7.2      +3.6 76 +3.6 76 73.6 66 +10.2 53 +13.9 1
161 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   14 - 14 7 - 7 14 - 14 7 - 7 +0.5      +0.3 161 +0.3 161 78.6 20 -1.3 188 -1.3 4
172 North Dakota St. 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 9 12 - 17 5 - 9 -0.4      -0.2 172 -0.2 172 65.8 255 -2.5 204 -5.2 6
203 Denver 0.0%   13 - 15 8 - 6 13 - 15 8 - 6 -2.5      -1.2 203 -1.2 203 65.6 263 -2.1 200 +1.2 3
232 Oral Roberts 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 9 8 - 20 5 - 9 -4.1      -2.0 232 -2.0 232 64.1 306 -4.3 238 -4.6 5
282 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 10 7 - 22 4 - 10 -7.2      -3.6 282 -3.6 282 74.3 56 -7.1 279 -6.1 7
302 Western Illinois 0.0%   8 - 16 3 - 11 8 - 16 3 - 11 -8.4      -4.2 302 -4.2 302 68.7 187 -6.1 263 -8.3 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
South Dakota 2.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 5.0 100.0
Denver 3.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 5.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 7.0 100.0
Western Illinois 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
South Dakota 11 - 3 100.0
South Dakota St. 13 - 1 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 - 7 100.0
North Dakota St. 5 - 9 100.0
Denver 8 - 6 100.0
Oral Roberts 5 - 9 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4 - 10 100.0
Western Illinois 3 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne
North Dakota St.
Denver
Oral Roberts
Nebraska Omaha
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 13.5 53.4 32.6 0.5
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 23.1% 6.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 23.1% 0.2 76.9 23.1
Sweet Sixteen 6.4% 0.1 93.6 6.4
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0