Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#199
Pace69.4#170
Improvement-0.4#205

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#174
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.4#288

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#174
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.9#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 247   North Dakota L 80-83 67%     0 - 1 -8.1 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 12, 2017 328   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-57 85%     1 - 1 +12.4 -5.8 -5.8
  Nov 13, 2017 202   @ Hawaii L 67-72 OT 45%     1 - 2 -4.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2017 16   @ Kentucky L 62-70 5%     1 - 3 +9.7 +8.8 +8.8
  Nov 22, 2017 99   @ East Tennessee St. W 73-65 21%     2 - 3 +16.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2017 350   Delaware St. W 95-64 97%     3 - 3 +8.6 -11.2 -11.2
  Nov 29, 2017 199   Illinois-Chicago W 87-66 68%     4 - 3 +15.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 05, 2017 118   UAB L 78-90 47%     4 - 4 -11.7 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 10, 2017 229   @ Southern Miss L 71-89 52%     4 - 5 -18.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Dec 16, 2017 34   Arkansas L 63-88 13%     4 - 6 -13.4 +5.8 +5.8
  Dec 19, 2017 200   @ Austin Peay L 73-75 45%     4 - 7 -1.3 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 29, 2017 152   Georgia Southern L 80-86 56%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -8.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 31, 2017 111   Georgia St. W 68-66 43%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +3.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 04, 2018 125   @ Texas Arlington L 76-86 28%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -4.6 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 06, 2018 228   @ Texas St. L 56-57 51%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -1.9 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2018 230   @ South Alabama W 79-64 52%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +14.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 20, 2018 210   Coastal Carolina L 73-74 70%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -6.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Jan 22, 2018 213   Appalachian St. W 81-79 70%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -4.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Jan 25, 2018 217   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-76 49%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -5.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 27, 2018 70   @ Louisiana L 69-81 15%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -1.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 03, 2018 230   South Alabama W 80-63 73%     8 - 13 4 - 6 +10.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Feb 08, 2018 280   Arkansas St. W 89-83 OT 81%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -4.0 -5.0 -5.0
  Feb 10, 2018 293   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-64 83%     10 - 13 6 - 6 +7.1 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 15, 2018 210   @ Coastal Carolina W 66-65 47%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +1.1 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2018 213   @ Appalachian St. L 54-65 48%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -11.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 22, 2018 70   Louisiana L 76-81 30%     11 - 15 7 - 8 -0.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 24, 2018 217   Louisiana Monroe W 73-67 71%     12 - 15 8 - 8 -0.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Mar 01, 2018 111   @ Georgia St. W 83-70 23%     13 - 15 9 - 8 +20.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 03, 2018 152   @ Georgia Southern L 83-89 33%     13 - 16 9 - 9 -2.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Mar 07, 2018 230   South Alabama W 69-62 63%     14 - 16 +3.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Mar 09, 2018 111   Georgia St. L 51-73 32%     14 - 17 -17.7 +2.1 +2.1
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%