Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#130
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#119
Pace67.0#224
Improvement+0.0#178

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#110
First Shot+4.0#64
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#276
Layup/Dunks+2.8#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#104
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+0.5#157

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#164
First Shot-1.3#209
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#40
Layups/Dunks-0.7#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#89
Freethrows-1.8#293
Improvement-0.5#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 35.0 - 1.06.0 - 4.0
Quad 418.0 - 4.024.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 116   Georgia St. W 81-74 56%     1 - 0 +8.1 +3.3 +4.4
  Nov 16, 2018 344   Incarnate Word W 93-66 94%     2 - 0 +11.9 +15.5 -1.7
  Nov 17, 2018 152   Miami (OH) W 73-71 57%     3 - 0 +2.9 +5.8 -2.8
  Nov 18, 2018 111   Georgia Southern L 77-80 44%     3 - 1 +1.2 +0.4 +1.0
  Nov 28, 2018 49   @ Creighton L 72-98 17%     3 - 2 -13.1 +7.8 -22.1
  Dec 08, 2018 80   @ UC Irvine L 51-60 27%     3 - 3 +0.0 -8.0 +6.6
  Dec 17, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 60-53 77%     4 - 3 +2.2 -5.9 +9.5
  Dec 19, 2018 98   @ Arizona L 42-61 31%     4 - 4 -11.1 -24.5 +12.9
  Dec 22, 2018 92   @ South Dakota St. W 85-74 30%     5 - 4 +19.1 +13.9 +5.3
  Dec 29, 2018 300   @ Northern Arizona W 86-73 78%     6 - 4 1 - 0 +7.6 +7.3 +0.1
  Dec 31, 2018 280   @ Southern Utah W 89-76 74%     7 - 4 2 - 0 +9.0 +7.0 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 87-56 86%     8 - 4 3 - 0 +21.8 +6.5 +13.6
  Jan 05, 2019 275   Portland St. L 74-77 OT 87%     8 - 5 3 - 1 -12.4 -6.4 -6.0
  Jan 10, 2019 227   @ Eastern Washington L 71-78 64%     8 - 6 3 - 2 -7.9 -0.8 -7.3
  Jan 12, 2019 194   @ Northern Colorado W 88-64 58%     9 - 6 4 - 2 +24.7 +13.9 +10.2
  Jan 19, 2019 345   @ Idaho W 69-51 92%     10 - 6 5 - 2 +5.5 -1.6 +9.8
  Jan 24, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 80-69 93%     11 - 6 6 - 2 -2.8 -3.1 +0.4
  Jan 26, 2019 212   Weber St. W 75-68 78%     12 - 6 7 - 2 +1.5 -3.0 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2019 241   @ Montana St. W 83-78 67%     13 - 6 8 - 2 +3.1 +3.2 -0.2
  Feb 07, 2019 345   Idaho W 100-59 96%     14 - 6 9 - 2 +22.9 +19.5 +4.7
  Feb 09, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 75-74 81%     15 - 6 10 - 2 -5.5 +1.0 -6.5
  Feb 14, 2019 212   @ Weber St. W 83-80 60%     16 - 6 11 - 2 +3.0 +4.6 -1.8
  Feb 16, 2019 324   @ Idaho St. W 80-68 85%     17 - 6 12 - 2 +3.8 -2.7 +6.2
  Feb 23, 2019 241   Montana St. W 89-83 83%     18 - 6 13 - 2 -1.5 +12.6 -13.7
  Feb 25, 2019 194   Northern Colorado L 72-74 76%     18 - 7 13 - 3 -6.8 +3.8 -10.8
  Mar 02, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 70-54 87%     19 - 7 14 - 3 +6.5 -3.3 +10.4
  Mar 04, 2019 300   Northern Arizona W 66-64 89%     20 - 7 15 - 3 -8.9 -6.6 -2.1
  Mar 07, 2019 275   @ Portland St. L 69-81 74%     20 - 8 15 - 4 -15.9 -5.3 -11.0
  Mar 09, 2019 272   @ Sacramento St. W 86-68 73%     21 - 8 16 - 4 +14.4 +12.9 +1.4
  Mar 14, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 79-73 81%     22 - 8 -0.4 +5.3 -5.7
  Mar 15, 2019 212   Weber St. W 78-49 70%     23 - 8 +26.2 +9.7 +18.7
  Mar 16, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 68-62 73%     24 - 8 +2.3 -4.5 +7.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 16.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.4 0.0 0.9 55.3 43.8 0.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.9 55.3 43.8 0.0