Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.5#26
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#24
Pace72.6#85
Improvement-4.6#331

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#25
First Shot+7.0#19
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#174
Layup/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows+3.7#5
Improvement-3.0#300

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#32
First Shot+5.1#42
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#57
Layups/Dunks+2.1#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#198
Freethrows+3.1#16
Improvement-1.6#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round97.1% n/a n/a
Second Round59.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 0.01.0 - 1.0
Quad 27.0 - 1.08.0 - 2.0
Quad 311.0 - 2.019.0 - 4.0
Quad 410.0 - 0.029.0 - 4.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 95   BYU W 86-70 85%     1 - 0 +18.5 +1.8 +14.8
  Nov 09, 2018 198   Pacific W 83-61 95%     2 - 0 +16.9 +13.5 +4.4
  Nov 16, 2018 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 87-59 96%     3 - 0 +21.3 +5.4 +13.7
  Nov 19, 2018 197   California Baptist W 90-55 95%     4 - 0 +29.9 +7.2 +20.8
  Nov 22, 2018 121   Tulsa W 96-86 82%     5 - 0 +13.6 +25.8 -12.2
  Nov 23, 2018 225   Massachusetts W 110-87 93%     6 - 0 +19.4 +34.1 -14.8
  Nov 27, 2018 125   @ Loyola Chicago W 79-65 76%     7 - 0 +19.9 +16.4 +4.6
  Dec 01, 2018 84   @ USC W 73-61 68%     8 - 0 +20.7 +3.6 +17.1
  Dec 07, 2018 59   Arizona St. W 72-66 69%     9 - 0 +14.3 +0.0 +14.1
  Dec 09, 2018 113   Grand Canyon W 74-66 81%     10 - 0 +12.0 +2.3 +9.7
  Dec 15, 2018 92   South Dakota St. W 72-68 85%     11 - 0 +6.6 -2.4 +9.0
  Dec 22, 2018 118   Akron W 68-62 88%     12 - 0 +6.9 +6.5 +0.9
  Dec 29, 2018 99   @ Utah W 86-71 71%     13 - 0 +22.6 +17.8 +5.9
  Jan 02, 2019 37   Utah St. W 72-49 69%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +31.3 -2.4 +32.1
  Jan 05, 2019 169   @ New Mexico L 58-85 85%     14 - 1 1 - 1 -24.8 -16.0 -8.1
  Jan 09, 2019 342   San Jose St. W 92-53 99%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +21.4 +6.3 +12.9
  Jan 12, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. W 74-64 64%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +19.8 +12.7 +7.9
  Jan 15, 2019 131   @ Boise St. W 72-71 78%     17 - 1 4 - 1 +6.4 +0.4 +6.0
  Jan 19, 2019 232   Air Force W 67-52 96%     18 - 1 5 - 1 +8.2 -11.1 +18.8
  Jan 23, 2019 163   Colorado St. W 100-60 93%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +36.9 +16.5 +17.7
  Jan 29, 2019 156   @ UNLV W 87-70 83%     20 - 1 7 - 1 +20.3 +9.0 +10.1
  Feb 02, 2019 131   Boise St. W 93-73 89%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +19.9 +19.7 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2019 163   @ Colorado St. W 98-82 85%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +18.5 +23.9 -5.5
  Feb 09, 2019 169   New Mexico W 91-62 93%     23 - 1 10 - 1 +25.6 +0.2 +20.4
  Feb 16, 2019 308   @ Wyoming W 82-49 96%     24 - 1 11 - 1 +26.7 +8.9 +18.4
  Feb 20, 2019 104   @ San Diego St. L 57-65 72%     24 - 2 11 - 2 -0.6 -12.2 +12.0
  Feb 23, 2019 72   Fresno St. W 74-68 81%     25 - 2 12 - 2 +10.2 +5.6 +4.8
  Feb 27, 2019 156   UNLV W 89-73 92%     26 - 2 13 - 2 +13.7 +17.7 -3.3
  Mar 02, 2019 37   @ Utah St. L 76-81 48%     26 - 3 13 - 3 +8.9 +4.5 +4.7
  Mar 05, 2019 232   @ Air Force W 90-79 91%     27 - 3 14 - 3 +9.7 +18.2 -8.3
  Mar 09, 2019 104   San Diego St. W 81-53 86%     28 - 3 15 - 3 +29.9 +9.5 +19.7
  Mar 14, 2019 131   Boise St. W 77-69 84%     29 - 3 +10.7 +10.4 +0.9
  Mar 15, 2019 104   San Diego St. L 56-65 80%     29 - 4 -4.4 -8.8 +3.9
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 97.1% 97.1% 7.8 0.1 0.9 3.1 36.7 32.8 17.4 5.5 0.7 0.0 2.9 97.1%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.1% 0.0% 97.1% 7.8 0.1 0.9 3.1 36.7 32.8 17.4 5.5 0.7 0.0 2.9 97.1%