Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#307
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#290
Pace73.8#67
Improvement-2.1#275

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot-1.7#243
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#151
Layup/Dunks-4.1#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
Freethrows+0.5#135
Improvement+2.4#74

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#344
First Shot-7.3#348
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#210
Layups/Dunks-5.4#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#286
Freethrows+1.2#94
Improvement-4.5#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.01.0 - 1.0
Quad 32.0 - 2.03.0 - 3.0
Quad 410.0 - 16.013.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure W 80-72 18%     1 - 0 +8.8 +8.4 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2018 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-75 9%     1 - 1 -7.1 -5.4 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 308   @ Wyoming W 72-67 39%     2 - 1 -1.3 -6.8 +5.2
  Nov 23, 2018 294   Grambling St. L 68-74 56%     2 - 2 -16.6 -12.0 -4.2
  Nov 24, 2018 285   St. Francis Brooklyn L 63-75 53%     2 - 3 -21.7 -13.3 -8.3
  Nov 30, 2018 259   @ St. Francis (PA) L 75-79 28%     2 - 4 -6.9 -10.1 +3.5
  Dec 03, 2018 93   @ Pittsburgh W 71-70 6%     3 - 4 +9.1 -3.1 +12.1
  Dec 09, 2018 341   New Hampshire W 71-67 79%     4 - 4 -13.5 -3.5 -9.9
  Dec 16, 2018 215   Cornell W 77-74 37%     5 - 4 -2.6 +9.2 -11.6
  Dec 19, 2018 289   @ Cleveland St. L 60-82 33%     5 - 5 -26.5 -19.0 -6.6
  Dec 22, 2018 242   @ Army W 78-66 26%     6 - 5 +9.8 -3.1 +11.3
  Dec 29, 2018 269   Norfolk St. W 83-75 50%     7 - 5 -1.1 +1.9 -3.5
  Dec 31, 2018 271   Albany L 74-79 50%     7 - 6 -14.1 -4.4 -9.6
  Jan 05, 2019 316   @ Manhattan L 80-90 41%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -16.7 +12.2 -29.5
  Jan 07, 2019 291   @ Fairfield L 59-77 34%     7 - 8 0 - 2 -22.8 -16.6 -5.4
  Jan 11, 2019 191   Iona W 95-90 34%     8 - 8 1 - 2 +0.3 +5.7 -6.0
  Jan 13, 2019 213   Rider L 84-104 37%     8 - 9 1 - 3 -25.6 +0.4 -24.0
  Jan 17, 2019 250   @ Siena L 57-66 27%     8 - 10 1 - 4 -11.6 -11.6 -0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 228   @ Quinnipiac W 75-72 22%     9 - 10 2 - 4 +2.0 +7.4 -5.0
  Jan 22, 2019 305   St. Peter's L 72-74 59%     9 - 11 2 - 5 -13.4 +1.6 -15.2
  Jan 26, 2019 279   Monmouth W 75-48 52%     10 - 11 3 - 5 +17.5 +9.6 +10.9
  Jan 30, 2019 268   Canisius W 78-70 50%     11 - 11 4 - 5 -1.0 +2.4 -3.1
  Feb 03, 2019 228   Quinnipiac L 73-84 40%     11 - 12 4 - 6 -17.5 +0.5 -18.9
  Feb 08, 2019 277   @ Marist L 58-79 31%     11 - 13 4 - 7 -24.9 -6.8 -21.9
  Feb 10, 2019 191   @ Iona L 76-79 18%     11 - 14 4 - 8 -2.2 -1.8 -0.3
  Feb 15, 2019 316   Manhattan L 60-64 62%     11 - 15 4 - 9 -16.3 -3.4 -13.6
  Feb 17, 2019 291   Fairfield W 78-73 55%     12 - 15 5 - 9 -5.3 -2.8 -2.8
  Feb 22, 2019 213   @ Rider L 81-97 20%     12 - 16 5 - 10 -16.0 -5.8 -7.4
  Feb 24, 2019 305   @ St. Peter's L 60-78 38%     12 - 17 5 - 11 -23.8 -4.0 -22.7
  Feb 27, 2019 268   @ Canisius W 86-84 30%     13 - 17 6 - 11 -1.5 +15.0 -16.3
  Mar 03, 2019 250   Siena L 65-72 OT 47%     13 - 18 6 - 12 -15.1 -12.1 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2019 279   Monmouth L 72-76 41%     13 - 19 -10.7 -2.8 -7.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 19.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%