Idaho
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Achievement Rating-12.8#315
Pace64.4#311
Improvement+0.2#161

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#228
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#231
Layup/Dunks-1.7#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#49
Freethrows-2.9#312
Improvement-1.6#310

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#308
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#345
Layups/Dunks-1.4#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#69
Freethrows-1.6#272
Improvement+1.8#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.2% 16.6% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.9% 35.5% 23.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 15.9% 12.6% 19.5%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round1.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 98   @ UC Irvine L 68-86 9%     0 - 1 -9.7 +9.1 -20.7
  Nov 13, 2018 250   Nicholls St. L 80-83 55%     0 - 2 -11.2 +1.4 -12.4
  Nov 24, 2018 147   UC Santa Barbara L 55-66 23%     0 - 3 -10.1 -9.2 -2.2
  Dec 01, 2018 303   @ North Dakota W 67-54 43%     1 - 3 +7.9 -0.2 +9.1
  Dec 05, 2018 161   @ Washington St. L 70-90 17%     1 - 4 -16.9 -2.0 -15.5
  Dec 08, 2018 211   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-73 46%     1 - 5 -11.9 +0.1 -12.6
  Dec 15, 2018 234   Nebraska Omaha W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 21, 2018 272   @ Santa Clara L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 29, 2018 245   Idaho St. W 74-73 54%    
  Dec 31, 2018 154   Weber St. L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 03, 2019 248   Eastern Washington W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 05, 2019 138   @ Northern Colorado L 69-81 14%    
  Jan 10, 2019 313   Montana St. W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 19, 2019 112   Montana L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 24, 2019 227   @ Sacramento St. L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 26, 2019 235   @ Portland St. L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 02, 2019 319   Northern Arizona W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 04, 2019 253   Southern Utah W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 07, 2019 112   @ Montana L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 09, 2019 313   @ Montana St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 14, 2019 138   Northern Colorado L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 18, 2019 248   @ Eastern Washington L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 21, 2019 319   @ Northern Arizona L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 253   @ Southern Utah L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 28, 2019 235   Portland St. W 77-76 52%    
  Mar 02, 2019 227   Sacramento St. W 71-70 51%    
  Mar 07, 2019 154   @ Weber St. L 70-80 18%    
  Mar 09, 2019 245   @ Idaho St. L 71-76 34%    
Projected Record 9.8 - 18.2 7.9 - 12.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.1 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 4.1 0.9 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 4.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.3 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 4.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 12.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.8 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.8 6.4 9.2 11.1 12.5 12.7 11.8 10.0 7.6 5.3 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 83.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 59.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 29.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 19.6% 19.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 22.6% 22.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 18.2% 18.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.0% 13.2% 13.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
14-6 2.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.8
13-7 3.4% 7.6% 7.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 3.2
12-8 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.0
11-9 7.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.4
10-10 10.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.7
9-11 11.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.7
8-12 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-13 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-14 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
5-15 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-16 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-17 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-18 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%