Troy
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#206
Achievement Rating-8.8#275
Pace68.8#211
Improvement-0.3#203

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#170
First Shot+0.5#171
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#188
Layup/Dunks+3.1#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#298
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows+0.6#145
Improvement-1.9#317

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#257
First Shot-4.8#315
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#48
Layups/Dunks-2.1#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#349
Freethrows+3.3#29
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 5.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 24.0% 45.6% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 57.1% 42.4%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.8% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 5.8% 11.2%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round3.0% 4.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 13.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 76   @ Saint Louis L 58-62 13%     0 - 1 +5.6 -0.2 +5.4
  Nov 12, 2018 122   @ Pittsburgh L 75-84 19%     0 - 2 -2.4 +9.3 -11.8
  Nov 15, 2018 148   Southern Miss L 66-81 48%     0 - 3 -17.2 -0.7 -18.3
  Nov 18, 2018 278   Central Arkansas W 82-77 74%     1 - 3 -4.5 +2.5 -7.1
  Nov 24, 2018 329   North Alabama W 77-58 86%     2 - 3 +4.7 +1.3 +3.9
  Nov 29, 2018 194   Austin Peay L 74-79 59%     2 - 4 -10.0 -9.8 +0.4
  Dec 03, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 67-83 4%     2 - 5 +1.2 -3.6 +6.6
  Dec 16, 2018 85   @ Western Kentucky L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 21, 2018 216   @ UAB L 70-73 40%    
  Dec 29, 2018 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 03, 2019 188   Coastal Carolina W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 180   Appalachian St. W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 10, 2019 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 12, 2019 290   @ Arkansas St. W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 17, 2019 130   Georgia Southern L 81-84 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 107   Georgia St. L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 24, 2019 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 26, 2019 118   @ Louisiana L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 02, 2019 195   @ South Alabama L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 07, 2019 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 290   Arkansas St. W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 13, 2019 107   @ Georgia St. L 69-79 18%    
  Feb 15, 2019 130   @ Georgia Southern L 78-87 23%    
  Feb 23, 2019 195   South Alabama W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 28, 2019 142   Texas St. L 67-68 46%    
  Mar 02, 2019 254   Texas Arlington W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 07, 2019 180   @ Appalachian St. L 76-80 35%    
  Mar 09, 2019 188   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 16.5 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.5 1.2 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.6 1.9 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.7 2.8 0.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.1 1.2 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.1 1.1 0.1 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.3 8.2 10.9 12.9 13.7 12.9 10.9 8.5 5.8 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 84.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 54.2% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 29.7% 29.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 26.6% 26.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 19.4% 19.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.8% 16.6% 16.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.4% 12.9% 12.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.0
12-6 5.8% 9.3% 9.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.2
11-7 8.5% 7.0% 7.0% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 7.9
10-8 10.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 10.4
9-9 12.9% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.6
8-10 13.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 12.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
6-12 10.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-13 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 96.7 0.0%