Louisiana
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#118
Achievement Rating+6.6#102
Pace79.1#29
Improvement+0.9#107

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#113
First Shot+3.4#79
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#237
Layup/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#69
Freethrows+2.2#66
Improvement+0.4#138

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#116
First Shot+2.4#98
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#219
Layups/Dunks+2.0#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#109
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+0.5#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% 25.1% 18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.5
.500 or above 95.6% 97.7% 91.3%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 93.2% 88.4%
Conference Champion 31.9% 34.7% 25.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round22.7% 24.6% 18.7%
Second Round4.1% 4.8% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 68.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 65-87 7%     0 - 1 -1.2 +3.7 -5.3
  Nov 16, 2018 4   @ Kansas L 76-89 6%     0 - 2 +8.7 +6.5 +3.3
  Nov 19, 2018 208   Colorado St. W 91-73 74%     1 - 2 +15.2 +3.8 +9.5
  Nov 20, 2018 75   Toledo L 64-77 40%     1 - 3 -6.4 -5.7 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2018 212   Tulane W 68-61 75%     2 - 3 +4.0 -3.5 +7.8
  Nov 28, 2018 263   @ New Orleans W 77-73 74%     3 - 3 +1.3 -6.9 +7.6
  Dec 01, 2018 333   Southern W 88-78 95%     4 - 3 -4.9 -0.5 -5.1
  Dec 11, 2018 289   Prairie View W 122-90 90%     5 - 3 +21.9 +13.2 +0.6
  Dec 15, 2018 138   Louisiana Tech W 81-76 68%    
  Dec 18, 2018 310   @ McNeese St. W 82-72 82%    
  Dec 29, 2018 288   @ SE Louisiana W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 03, 2019 290   Arkansas St. W 87-73 90%    
  Jan 05, 2019 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 84-72 86%    
  Jan 10, 2019 107   @ Georgia St. L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 12, 2019 130   @ Georgia Southern L 86-88 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 207   @ Louisiana Monroe W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 24, 2019 195   South Alabama W 79-70 79%    
  Jan 26, 2019 206   Troy W 83-73 81%    
  Jan 31, 2019 180   @ Appalachian St. W 84-82 58%    
  Feb 02, 2019 188   @ Coastal Carolina W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 06, 2019 130   Georgia Southern W 89-85 64%    
  Feb 08, 2019 107   Georgia St. W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 16, 2019 207   Louisiana Monroe W 79-69 81%    
  Feb 21, 2019 254   @ Texas Arlington W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 142   @ Texas St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 28, 2019 188   Coastal Carolina W 82-73 78%    
  Mar 03, 2019 180   Appalachian St. W 87-79 77%    
  Mar 07, 2019 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 81-75 69%    
  Mar 09, 2019 290   @ Arkansas St. W 84-76 76%    
Projected Record 19.5 - 9.5 12.2 - 5.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.4 8.3 9.0 5.9 2.6 0.6 31.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.5 7.9 4.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.6 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.0 1.8 0.2 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 3.8 1.5 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.1 6.8 9.7 12.6 14.6 15.0 13.5 10.3 6.1 2.6 0.6 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.0
16-2 97.6% 5.9    5.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 87.1% 9.0    6.9 2.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 61.2% 8.3    4.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 0.0
13-5 29.5% 4.4    1.3 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.4% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 31.9% 31.9 21.4 8.1 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 65.0% 48.4% 16.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 32.2%
17-1 2.6% 57.1% 48.9% 8.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.1 16.1%
16-2 6.1% 45.6% 41.7% 3.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.3 6.6%
15-3 10.3% 38.0% 36.3% 1.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.4 2.7%
14-4 13.5% 30.9% 30.4% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 9.3 0.6%
13-5 15.0% 25.1% 25.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.2 11.3 0.1%
12-6 14.6% 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 11.6 0.0%
11-7 12.6% 15.2% 15.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.0 10.7
10-8 9.7% 10.7% 10.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 8.6
9-9 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.3
8-10 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.9
7-11 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2
6-12 1.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.1
5-13 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 23.1% 22.3% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 5.7 7.1 5.3 2.1 0.3 76.9 1.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 10.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 3.0 10.1 9.6 21.2 35.4 15.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 43.4% 10.3 1.2 1.2 2.4 2.4 13.3 15.7 6.0 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 33.3% 10.8 3.8 1.3 5.1 11.5 9.0 2.6