Creighton
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.4#8
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#9
Pace69.2#169
Improvement+5.4#16

Offense
Total Offense+11.2#2
First Shot+11.9#2
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#230
Layup/Dunks+1.4#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#4
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement+3.7#24

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#69
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#280
Layups/Dunks+5.3#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
Freethrows+3.3#16
Improvement+1.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 10.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 56.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight32.0% n/a n/a
Final Four15.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game7.2% n/a n/a
National Champion3.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 55 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 29 - 7
Quad 26 - 015 - 7
Quad 33 - 018 - 7
Quad 45 - 023 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 81-55 99.7%    1 - 0 +3.9 -5.0 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2019 15   @ Michigan L 69-79 43%     1 - 1 +7.3 +9.9 -3.4
  Nov 16, 2019 88   Louisiana Tech W 82-72 87%     2 - 1 +13.0 +8.3 +4.5
  Nov 22, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 86-70 99%     3 - 1 +3.7 +7.1 -3.4
  Nov 24, 2019 164   North Florida W 76-67 94%     4 - 1 +6.4 -4.4 +10.8
  Nov 28, 2019 7   San Diego St. L 52-83 48%     4 - 2 -15.1 -12.5 -3.0
  Nov 29, 2019 17   Texas Tech W 83-76 OT 56%     5 - 2 +20.9 +16.2 +4.5
  Dec 03, 2019 138   Oral Roberts W 72-60 93%     6 - 2 +10.9 -2.1 +13.4
  Dec 07, 2019 156   Nebraska W 95-76 94%     7 - 2 +16.6 +9.1 +5.0
  Dec 13, 2019 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 89-58 97%     8 - 2 +23.3 +6.0 +15.1
  Dec 17, 2019 37   Oklahoma W 83-73 76%     9 - 2 +18.1 +8.8 +8.5
  Dec 21, 2019 60   @ Arizona St. W 67-60 65%     10 - 2 +18.4 +2.7 +15.8
  Jan 01, 2020 29   Marquette W 92-75 71%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +26.5 +13.2 +11.7
  Jan 04, 2020 27   @ Butler L 57-71 49%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +1.7 -8.7 +10.3
  Jan 07, 2020 13   Villanova L 59-64 65%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +6.4 -3.4 +9.3
  Jan 11, 2020 41   @ Xavier W 77-65 58%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +25.4 +17.6 +8.5
  Jan 15, 2020 66   @ Georgetown L 80-83 67%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +8.0 +6.5 +1.6
  Jan 18, 2020 35   Providence W 78-74 75%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +12.4 +19.1 -6.3
  Jan 22, 2020 91   @ DePaul W 83-68 74%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +23.6 +16.6 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2020 41   Xavier W 77-66 78%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +18.3 +14.8 +4.2
  Feb 01, 2020 13   @ Villanova W 76-61 42%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +32.4 +12.9 +19.8
  Feb 05, 2020 35   @ Providence L 56-73 54%     16 - 6 6 - 4 -2.6 -2.1 -2.4
  Feb 08, 2020 63   St. John's W 94-82 83%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +17.2 +27.4 -9.9
  Feb 12, 2020 16   @ Seton Hall W 87-82 43%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +22.1 +15.4 +6.3
  Feb 15, 2020 91   DePaul W 93-64 88%     19 - 6 9 - 4 +31.6 +12.4 +15.8
  Feb 18, 2020 29   @ Marquette W 73-65 49%     20 - 6 10 - 4 +23.5 +5.0 +18.5
  Feb 23, 2020 27   Butler W 81-59 71%     21 - 6 11 - 4 +31.6 +16.7 +16.2
  Mar 01, 2020 63   @ St. John's L 71-91 66%     21 - 7 11 - 5 -8.7 +4.5 -13.0
  Mar 04, 2020 66   Georgetown W 91-76 84%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +19.9 +18.8 +1.2
  Mar 07, 2020 16   Seton Hall W 77-60 66%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +28.0 +21.8 +9.0
Projected Record 23 - 7 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.4 10.4 46.1 37.2 6.3 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.4 10.4 46.1 37.2 6.3 0.1